Freiburg vs Schalke 04: match statistics
Freiburg vs Schalke 04: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Schalke 04 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Schalke 04: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 3.00 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Schalke 04 scores 0.75 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 50%, Schalke 04 25%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 75%, Schalke 04 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 77%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.30. Freiburg: 19.0 shots per match, Schalke 04: 11.8.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.50. Schalke 04: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 16-30 (4 goals). Schalke 04: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 77%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten, although Schalke are also in good form, with 3 wins and 2 draws. Home advantage could prove decisive: Freiburg have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 4.5 goals and conceding just 0.5. Schalke average 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded away from home. Freiburg also create more dangerous chances in front of their home crowd, with an average xG of 2.02, while Schalke allow their opponents an xG of 2.65 away. The visitors can still threaten the opposition goal, averaging 7.5 shots on target in away matches, but their conversion rate is 10%, compared with Freiburg’s 24% at home. Given the disparity in finishing and defensive performance, a home win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Freiburg have averaged 3.2 goals over their last 5 matches, while Schalke are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, which points to a goal for the hosts. The visitors have averaged 1.5 goals and 7.5 shots on target per away match, so they also have attacking credentials. However, the signal is not clear-cut: Freiburg have yet to score at home and have not conceded there, while Schalke have failed to score in 50% of their away matches. In the teams’ last 5 matches, both sides scored in 60% and 40% of games respectively, so BTTS - Yes has a moderate, rather than strong, edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Freiburg scored an average of 3,2 goals and conceded 1,0, for a total of 4,2 goals per game. Schalke scored 1,8 goals per game over the same period, while its average xG against was 1,52, giving the hosts reason to believe they can create several chances. A more cautious forecast than Freiburg’s recent results might suggest is supported by its home xG of 0,87 and the fact that Schalke’s last 5 matches averaged 2,4 goals. Even so, the league average is 3,81 goals, and at least 3 goals were scored in 80% of Freiburg’s last 5 matches. With a projected total of 3,30 goals, the strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an estimated probability of 84%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Freiburg led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Schalke did so in only 1 of 5, making a Freiburg half-time lead the most likely outcome. Over this period, Freiburg averaged 1.8 goals before half-time, compared with Schalke’s 0.4, further strengthening the case for the hosts. Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 3.2 goals, compared with Schalke’s 3 wins and 1.8 goals, giving them a stronger basis for maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle. Caution is warranted, however: Freiburg drew at half-time in both of their two home matches, while their average xG was 0.87 compared with Schalke’s 1.73 away from home. Despite this contrast, Freiburg’s stronger results and finishing over their last five matches point primarily to a lead at the break and a win at full-time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Freiburg · 1.25 pts / match - Schalke 04
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Freiburg · 0.75 goals / match - Schalke 04
Freiburg is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Freiburg · 1 goals / match - Schalke 04
Freiburg scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Schalke 04 scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Schalke 04
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - Freiburg · 1.25 pts / match - Schalke 04
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Schalke 04
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.75 | 3.84 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 89% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 2:1 Schalke 04. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Freiburg score 3.00 goals per game on average and Schalke 04 0.75. The Bundesliga average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 77% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Freiburg's matches and 25% of Schalke 04's.
What form are Freiburg and Schalke 04 in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Schalke 04 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Freiburg vs Schalke 04: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.