Freiburg vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Freiburg demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+9). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, with a 14% conversion rate and a ball possession advantage (51%). Union Berlin performs poorly away from home - managing only a 25% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and suffering a 58% away loss rate. The visitors struggle with finishing efficiency (8%) and concede an average of 1.75 goals in away matches, while failing to score in 33% of cases. Freiburg's home xG superiority (1.62) over Union's away xG (1.36) further confirms the hosts' dominance. Considering all statistics, Freiburg has a realistic chance of winning, although Union might put up a fight, so a draw cannot be ruled out.
Freiburg vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Union Berlin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.48 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.20 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 60%, Union Berlin 60%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 64%, Union Berlin 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.33. Freiburg: 12.4 shots per match, Union Berlin: 12.3.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84. Union Berlin: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (9 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+9). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, with a 14% conversion rate and a ball possession advantage (51%). Union Berlin performs poorly away from home - managing only a 25% win rate, a negative goal difference (-9), and suffering a 58% away loss rate. The visitors struggle with finishing efficiency (8%) and concede an average of 1.75 goals in away matches, while failing to score in 33% of cases. Freiburg's home xG superiority (1.62) over Union's away xG (1.36) further confirms the hosts' dominance. Considering all statistics, Freiburg has a realistic chance of winning, although Union might put up a fight, so a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.8 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.2 goals / match - Union Berlin
Freiburg scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Freiburg · 1.08 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.16 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 0 - 1 - 0 Union Berlin. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 0:1 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Freiburg score 1.48 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.20. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Freiburg's matches and 60% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Freiburg and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Union Berlin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.