Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Wolfsburg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.42 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 1.32 and concedes 2.13. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 58%, Wolfsburg 74%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 65%, Wolfsburg 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.32. Freiburg: 12.6 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 11.5.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (11 goals). Wolfsburg: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg has a 53% home win rate and averages 1.87 goals per home match, while Wolfsburg wins only 27% of away matches and averages 1.33 goals. Visitors concede 2.33 goals on average away versus 1.33 conceded by Freiburg at home, and the season totals show 66 goals conceded for Wolfsburg compared to 52 for Freiburg. Chance quality favors the hosts: Freiburg posts 1.63 xG at home with 1.32 xG against and averages 14.67 shots with 5.27 on target, whereas Wolfsburg has 1.05 xG away, 2.13 xG against and only 9.4 shots with 3.27 on target. In the last 5 matches Freiburg scored 7 goals and averages 1.2 points per match, Wolfsburg scored 6 goals and averages 0.8 points per match; both sides conceded 10 goals in that period, which may indicate an open game. Considering higher xG, better control (51% possession for Freiburg vs 42% for Wolfsburg), superiority in shots and a stronger home record (+8 vs -15 away), I favour the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have very high seasonal BTTS rates: Freiburg 75% and Wolfsburg 73% (average 74%), which is 13 percentage points above the league BTTS average of 61%. Both sides regularly concede — Freiburg concedes 1.94 goals per game, Wolfsburg 2.33, and in the last 5 matches both teams conceded 2.0 goals on average (10 conceded goals in 5 fixtures). Freiburg generates 1.56 xG per game and averages 4.69 shots on target, while Wolfsburg has 1.05 xG and 3.27 shots on target; defensively Wolfsburg allows 2.13 xG, which favors Freiburg scoring. Clean sheet percentage is extremely low (6% for Freiburg and 7% for Wolfsburg), and the share of matches over 2.5 goals is 69% and 67% with over2.5+i and BTTS at 63% and 60%, further supporting a both teams to score scenario. On this basis the strongest signal from the data is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goal data analysis points to a match with numerous goal-scoring opportunities: Freiburg has an attacking xG of 1.56 while Wolfsburg concedes an average xG against of 2.13, which when averaged yields an expected ~1.85 goals for the home side. The visitors have an attacking xG of 1.05 while Freiburg concedes xG against of 1.69, giving ~1.37 expected goals for Wolfsburg; the combined projected goals total is 3.22. Historically Over 1.5 occurs in 81% of Freiburg’s matches and 80% of Wolfsburg’s, and Over 2.5 is recorded in 69% and 67% of cases respectively, confirming a tendency toward higher scoring. Additionally both teams show high BTTS rates: 75% (Freiburg) and 73% (Wolfsburg), and Freiburg have had Over 2.5 in 100% of their last 5 matches, which strengthens the over signal. Based on this the strongest selection is an Over 1.5 bet (recommended) with a projected 82% probability for Over 1.5 and an expected 3.22 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from half-time statistics: Wolfsburg led at the break in 40% of their matches, while Freiburg only in 19%. Wolfsburg also posts superior half-time metrics — 22 points and an average of 1.47 points at half-time versus Freiburg’s 16 points and 1.0, with half-time goals averaging 0.8 for Wolfsburg and 0.56 for Freiburg. Over the full match Wolfsburg won 27% of games compared to Freiburg’s 13%, despite Freiburg generating more chances (xG 1.56 vs 1.05 and 13.44 shots on average versus 9.4), which points to Wolfsburg’s advantage in efficiency and holding a lead. Additionally, both teams scored in 75% of Freiburg’s matches and 73% of Wolfsburg’s, so the most likely scenario is Wolfsburg leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.8 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.32 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Freiburg is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Freiburg · 2.13 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Freiburg scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.10 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 1 - 0 - 0 Wolfsburg. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 1:1 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
Freiburg score 1.42 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.32. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Freiburg's matches and 74% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Freiburg and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Wolfsburg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?
The statistical background for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.