Frosinone vs Mantova: match statistics
Frosinone vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Frosinone played Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Frosinone: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mantova: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Frosinone scores 1.92 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Mantova scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Frosinone 57%, Mantova 51%. Over 2.5: Frosinone 59%, Mantova 51%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Frosinone has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.55. Frosinone: 17.3 shots per match, Mantova: 14.0.
Match halves
Frosinone: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 1.05. Mantova: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Frosinone: 46-60 (16 goals). Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Frosinone is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd in the table and win 61% of home matches, scoring an average of 2.06 goals and conceding only 0.83 per game. The home side creates better chances — average xG at home is 2.03 versus Mantova’s 1.36 xG away, and average shots 19.17 (6.5 on target) versus 12 (4.06 on target) confirm the attacking superiority. Mantova score 0.94 goals on the road, have 44% of away matches without a goal and win only 22% of away fixtures while conceding 1.28 on average, which limits their chances. Both teams are in good form (Frosinone 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5, averaging 2.6 points per game; Mantova 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 points per game), but the lower percentage of home goalless matches (6% vs 44%) and superior xG favor the hosts. Therefore I predict a Frosinone win — they have 71 goals scored versus 45 and only 3 defeats in the season compared to Mantova’s 17 losses, which gives them a significant advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Frosinone has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% versus Mantova's 39% and a league average of 54%, giving an initial edge to the "yes" scenario. Average xG indicate roughly 1.64 xG for Frosinone (1.74 xG attacking at home and 1.54 xG conceded by Mantova's defense) and about 1.32 xG for Mantova (1.36 xG attacking and 1.28 xG conceded by Frosinone's defense), so both sides have realistic goal-scoring potential. Additionally, Frosinone have scored 71 and conceded 34 this season and average 5.47 shots on target and 15.95 shots per match versus Mantova's 4.06 and 12.0, which increases the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Against this are Mantova's away stats (only 0.94 goals seasonally) and low BTTS in the last 5 matches: 40% for Frosinone and 20% for Mantova, which reduce confidence. Weighing these signals I assign 60% to "yes" and 40% to "no" and select BTTS "yes" as the strongest signal due to the hosts' high seasonal BTTS rate and the favorable xG 1.64 vs 1.32.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The prediction is based on xG and goal averages: Frosinone’s attacking xG is 1.74, Mantova’s attacking xG is 1.36, and xG conceded is 1.54 for the away side and 1.28 for the home side, yielding approx. 1.64 goals for Frosinone and 1.32 for Mantova (total 2.96). Frosinone averages 1.47 goals per game this season (last 5 matches 1.8) and has 79% of matches with over 1.5 goals; Mantova averages 0.94 goals this season and 61% of matches over 1.5, so the trend for Over 1.5 is strong. The hosts average 15.95 shots and 5.47 on target with a conversion rate of 9%, the visitors 12.0 shots and 4.06 on target with an 8% conversion rate, suggesting Frosinone has the edge in creating chances. The 2.5 line is more balanced (seasonal Over2.5: 53% vs 50%), but the combined xG of 2.96 implies roughly a 65% probability of Over 2.5; meanwhile Over 3.5 drops to ~31% given that Frosinone has conceded only 0.4 goals on average in the last 5 matches. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (approx. 80% probability), with moderate support for Over 2.5 (approx. 65%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Frosinone has a clear attacking edge: on average 1.47 goals scored per match, xG 1.74 and 5.47 shots on target, while Mantova records 0.94 goals, xG 1.36 and 4.06 shots on target. At half-time a draw is slightly more common for the hosts (the home side were level at the break in 37% of matches, leading in 32%), but Frosinone dominate after the interval — they score on average 0.84 goals in the second half versus Mantova’s 0.44 and have 95% of matches with at least one second-half goal (vs 72% for Mantova). Overall Frosinone win 47% of matches compared to Mantova’s 22%, so the most probable scenario is the hosts taking the lead at the break and holding it until the end; therefore 1/1 was assigned 26%. The next strongest signals are a half-time draw with a later home win (X/1 20%) and a home turnaround from behind to win (2/1 14%), reflecting their superior efficiency and higher second-half xG.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Frosinone | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Frosinone is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Frosinone · 2.4 pts / match - Mantova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frosinone is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Frosinone · 1.22 goals / match - Mantova
Frosinone is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Frosinone · 1.41 goals / match - Mantova
Frosinone scores in 92% of matches (34 of 37 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Mantova scores in 70% of matches (26 of 37 matches), while Frosinone keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Frosinone
Over / Under - Mantova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Frosinone is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Frosinone · 1.24 pts / match - Mantova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Frosinone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Frosinone
Mantova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Frosinone | Liga | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.54 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Frosinone 1 - 0 - 0 Mantova. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Frosinone vs Mantova?
The Serie B match finished Frosinone 5:0 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Frosinone vs Mantova?
Frosinone score 1.92 goals per game on average and Mantova 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Frosinone's matches and 51% of Mantova's.
What form are Frosinone and Mantova in?
Over the last 5 games Frosinone have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mantova 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Frosinone vs Mantova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Frosinone vs Mantova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.