FS Jelgava vs Auda: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FS Jelgava played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
FS Jelgava: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Auda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FS Jelgava scores 0.57 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Auda scores 1.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FS Jelgava 43%, Auda 71%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 29%, Auda 57%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Auda has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.24. FS Jelgava: 9.7 shots per match, Auda: 13.3.
Match halves
FS Jelgava: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.14. Auda: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
FS Jelgava: 0-15 (1 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Auda is the clear favorite in this fixture: they sit 3rd in the table versus FS Jelgava in 8th, and have scored 11 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 4. In attack the visitors show superior metrics — Auda averages 1.5 goals away, produces 13 shots (4.75 on target) and posts a 12% conversion rate, while Jelgava at home averages 0.5 goals, 9 shots (3 on target) and a 6% conversion. The quality of chances also favors Auda: average xG for the visitors on the road is 1.51 versus 1.21 xG for Jelgava at home, while xG against is 1.03 for Auda compared to 1.6 for Jelgava. The form trend is unambiguous — in the last 5 matches Jelgava have scored only 1 goal, failed to win any game (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) and average 0.2 points per match, whereas Auda have scored 7 goals in their last 5, won 2 games and average 1.4 points per match. Additionally Auda have had no blanks on the road (0% goalless away performances) versus 75% of Jelgava’s home matches without a goal, therefore I forecast a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches FS Jelgava have averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded, with BTTS in their last 5 at 20%. Visitors Auda have BTTS at 80% in their last 5, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per match, but seasonally Auda record 50% clean sheets and only 0.5 goals conceded per game. Seasonal xG indicates scoring potential: home xG 1.68 versus xG against Auda 1.03, and away xG 1.51 versus xG against the hosts 1.58, while the hosts’ seasonal BTTS rate is 100% against a league average of 60%. Despite these seasonal signals, the key factor is Jelgava’s form drop (0.2 goals in the last 5 vs season 1.67) and the high number of goals conceded by the hosts (2.4 in the last 5 and 2.0 seasonally), which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I assign a higher probability to the 'No' market at 60% versus 40% for 'Yes', because Jelgava’s poor finishing in the last 5 (0.2) and Auda’s solid seasonal defensive numbers (0.5 average conceded and 50% CS) outweigh the hosts’ seasonal BTTS rate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.36 for FS Jelgava and 1.54 for Auda (total 2.90); this valuation factors in both teams' xG: 1.68 (Jelgava) and 1.51 (Auda) as well as xG against: 1.03 (Auda) and 1.58 (Jelgava). A strong confirmation for Over is that the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 100% for the home side and 75% for the visitors, and both teams average 13+ shots (13.67 and 13.0) with 5.33 and 4.75 shots on target. Additionally, Jelgava has not kept a clean sheet this season (CS 0%) and has a season BTTS of 100%, while Auda has 50% clean sheets but scored 7 goals in the last 5 rounds (1.4 average) versus 1 goal for Jelgava (0.2 average), which increases the likelihood of goal volatility. The combined xG for both teams is 3.19 (1.68+1.51), and with equal 12% shooting conversion for both sides and the head-to-head and season history (high seasonOver1.5 and shot volumes), the strongest and safest pick is Over 1.5; the 2.5 line has a moderate probability (~60%), and 3.5 is risky (~25%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (2/2) — I assess its probability at 35%. Auda led at the break in 3 of 4 recorded cases (leadingAtHT_away = 3, leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 75%), scores on average 0.75 goals by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.75) and does not concede goals by Half-Time (concededAVGHT_away = 0.0), whereas Jelgava averages 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.67, concededAVGHT_home = 0.67). After 90 minutes the favorite is the away side: Auda has seasonPPG_away = 2.5 and a 75% win rate (winPercentage_away = 75%), while Jelgava has seasonPPG_home = 1.0 with a 33% win rate (winPercentage_home = 33%), and hosts concede on average 2.0 goals per match versus 0.5 for the away side (seasonConcededAVG_home = 2.0, seasonConcededAVG_away = 0.5). The home team records 100% of home matches with both teams scoring (seasonBTTSPercentage_home = 100%), so alternative scenarios are Half-Time draw and away win (X/2 — 15%) or away leading at Half-Time and a turnaround to draw/hold (2/X — 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auda is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.4 pts / match - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 175% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.57 goals / match - Auda
Auda is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.14 goals / match - Auda
FS Jelgava scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Auda scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 2 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FS Jelgava
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 2.75 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FS Jelgava 1 - 1 - 2 Auda. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 2:3 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Auda?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 1, Auda won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Auda?
FS Jelgava score 0.57 goals per game on average and Auda 1.57. The Virsliga average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of FS Jelgava's matches and 71% of Auda's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Auda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Auda?
The statistical background for FS Jelgava vs Auda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.