FS Jelgava vs Riga: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FS Jelgava played Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:8.
Current form
FS Jelgava: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Riga: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
FS Jelgava scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Riga scores 2.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FS Jelgava 67%, Riga 100%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 33%, Riga 100%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.56. FS Jelgava: 12.3 shots per match, Riga: 14.0.
Match halves
FS Jelgava: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Riga: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
FS Jelgava: 16-30 (1 goals). Riga: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the favorite in this fixture: the visitors average 1.5 goals away with xG of 1.64, while Jelgava score 1.0 goals at home with xG 1.45. The difference in chance creation is evident — Riga average 13.5 shots per game, 5.0 on target, with an 11% conversion rate, whereas the hosts average 11 shots with 3.5 on target and a 9% conversion. A key signal is that Riga have not yet had an away match without scoring (0% scoreless games), while Jelgava have failed to score in 50% of their home matches. Defensively the hosts concede 1.0 goals at home versus 1.5 conceded by Riga away, but neither side have clean sheets (0% clean sheets), indicating an open, goal-prone game. Considering Riga’s 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Jelgava’s 6, and the visitors’ slightly better points-per-game over the last 5 (1.4 vs 1.2), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Jelgava 100% vs Riga 100%), while the league average is 60%, which is a very strong signal that this match will see goals from both sides. In the last 5 games Jelgava recorded BTTS in 80% and Riga in 100%; across those five matches Jelgava averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Riga scored 2.2 and conceded 2.0, so both teams regularly both score and concede. xG analysis shows: hosts have xG_for 1.95 versus visitors’ xG_against 1.42, and visitors have xG_for 1.64 versus hosts’ xG_against 0.93, indicating realistic scoring opportunities for both sides. Additionally Jelgava averages 7.0 shots on target versus 5.0 for the opponents and has higher shot conversion 27% compared to 11% for the visitors; seasonal goals conceded averages are 2.0 for the hosts and 1.5 for the away side, and both teams have 0% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I favor BTTS - Yes and estimate its probability at 90% versus 10% for No, because key indicators (seasonal BTTS 100%/100%, last 5 matches: 80%/100%, xG and shots data) consistently point to a match with goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season over 1.5 goals and 100% over 2.5 goals, which is a very strong historical signal for Over; in the last 5 matches Riga records 80% of games over 2.5, and Jelgava 40%. xG analysis yields about 1.69 goals for Jelgava (xG for home 1.95 vs xG against away 1.42, average ≈1.69) and about 1.29 for Riga (xG for away 1.64 vs xG against home 0.93, average ≈1.29), totaling ≈2.98 goals. Jelgava averages 7.0 shots on target with a conversion of 27%, and Riga 5.0 shots on target with a conversion of 11%, which reinforces the hosts' goal-scoring potential. At the same time both teams have 100% of matches where both teams scored, and conflicting seasonal data regarding over 3.5 (100% for Jelgava vs 0% for Riga) increases uncertainty at the 3.5 line. Given the expected ~2.98 goals and strong historical over indicators, I recommend playing the over at 2.5; I estimate Over 1.5 at 97%, Over 2.5 at 82% and Over 3.5 at 38%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Jelgava led at the break in 100% of matches and averages 2.0 goals by half-time with 0.0 conceded, while Riga averages only 0.5 goals by half-time and has not led at the break in any fixture. Over 90 minutes the hosts average 4.0 goals versus 1.5 for the visitors, possess higher xG (1.95 vs 1.64) and a markedly better shot conversion rate (27% vs 11%), indicating Jelgava's offensive superiority and efficiency. Both teams have a season-long "both teams to score" rate of 100%, and Jelgava concedes on average 2.0 goals per match, so I expect Riga to score after the break but not to produce a turnaround. Given Jelgava's dominance at half-time (2.0 vs 0.5) together with the xG and conversion advantages, the most likely scenario is Jelgava leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1); I assign this scenario the highest probability (approximately 60%), while scenarios with the visitors leading at half-time I assess collectively at about 5%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 2 pts / match - Riga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 2.33 goals / match - Riga
FS Jelgava is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.67 goals / match - Riga
FS Jelgava scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Riga scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Riga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FS Jelgava
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.44 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FS Jelgava 0 - 1 - 3 Riga. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 0:8 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Riga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 0, Riga won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Riga?
FS Jelgava score 1.00 goals per game on average and Riga 2.33. The Virsliga average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of FS Jelgava's matches and 100% of Riga's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Riga 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Riga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.