FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FS Jelgava played Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 8 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
FS Jelgava: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Rīgas FS: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
FS Jelgava scores 0.75 and concedes 2.75 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 1.75 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FS Jelgava 50%, Rīgas FS 25%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 50%, Rīgas FS 25%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.46. FS Jelgava: 12.0 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.5.
Match halves
FS Jelgava: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
FS Jelgava: 16-30 (1 goals). Rīgas FS: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS is the favorite: they sit 2nd, have 3 wins and 1 loss this season and average 2.4 points in their last 5 matches, while FS Jelgava are 7th with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses and average 1 point in their last five fixtures. Defensively the visitors dominate: Rīgas FS record 0.00 goals conceded per away match and 100% clean sheets on the road, whereas Jelgava concede 3.33 goals per home match and have shipped 12 goals in their last 5 games. In chance quality Rīgas FS average 6 shots on target and xG 1.63 away, while Jelgava only 3.33 SoT and xG 1.35 at home, with the hosts converting at 6% and averaging 0.67 goals per match. Offensively the trend also favors the visitors — Rīgas FS scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and have 0% goalless away games, while Jelgava scored 4 in their last five and have no home clean sheets. Considering the defensive advantage (0.00 vs 3.33 goals conceded), better chance quality (xG 1.63 vs 1.35) and higher number of shots on target (6 vs 3.33), I predict a Rīgas FS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal advantage points to BTTS - Yes: the home side has conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches (12 conceded in 5), while Rīgas FS has scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 (11 scored), which strongly increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Recent xG shows the visitors generate 1.95 xG per match versus 1.49 xG created against the hosts, meaning the visitors’ attack is statistically more effective than the hosts’ defense. Both teams create chances: an average of 7 and 6 shots on target respectively, and season xG of 2.12 for the hosts and 1.63 for the visitors, confirming goal-scoring potential. Additionally, the league has BTTS at 55%, with recent runs showing 60% BTTS for the hosts and 40% for the visitors; therefore I assess a 72% probability for BTTS - Yes and 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.40 expected goals for FS Jelgava (attacking xG 2.12 vs opponents’ xG conceded 0.69, (2.12+0.69)/2≈1.40) and 1.15 for Rīgas FS (attacking xG 1.63 vs opponents’ xG conceded 0.67, (1.63+0.67)/2=1.15), giving a total of 2.55 expected goals. In the last 5 matches Jelgava scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 12 (2.4 per game), while Rīgas FS scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and conceded 5 (1.0 per game), which increases pressure on the home defense. The hosts average 18 shots with 7 on target and an 11% conversion, the visitors 12 shots with 6 on target and an 8% conversion, indicating there will be scoring opportunities. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.55, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~72%, Over 2.5 is ~47%, and Over 3.5 is only ~25%. Therefore I recommend an Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest and most data-driven signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS led at the break in 100% of matches (1 of 1) and average 1.0 goals by half-time while conceding 0.0, whereas FS Jelgava did not lead at the break in any match (0%) and average 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded by half-time. The visitors have a perfect winning record this season (100% wins) and average 3.0 points per game, while the hosts record 67% wins and average 2.0 points per game; over the last five fixtures Rīgas FS won 80% of matches versus Jelgava’s 20%, which supports a final victory for the visitors. At the same time Jelgava register more shots (18 vs 12 on average) and have higher xG (2.12 vs 1.63), and the hosts score more often in the second half (1.67 on average), which increases the chance of a turnaround after the break. Considering the visitors’ 100% rate of leading at the break, their average 0.0 goals conceded by half-time and their dominant final efficiency, the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 2.25 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.75 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 450% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.75 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 0.5 goals / match - Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.25 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FS Jelgava 1 - 1 - 2 Rīgas FS. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 0:1 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 1, Rīgas FS won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
FS Jelgava score 0.75 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 1.75. The Virsliga average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FS Jelgava's matches and 25% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rīgas FS 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
The statistical background for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.