Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila: match statistics
Águila clearly surpasses the hosts in terms of form and quality. Fuerte San Francisco has a mere 8% win rate at home, with a catastrophic goal difference of -16 in home matches and averaging 2 goals conceded per match. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 meetings (0.6 pts/match), while Águila earns 1.8 pts/match and has won 3 of the last 5 matches. The visitors have significantly better shooting efficiency (11% vs 7%), superior ball possession (50% vs 48%), and a much more solid defense on the road (1.13 vs 2.0 conceded goals). Águila holds a 40% win rate on away grounds, which, combined with the hosts' weakness, makes them the clear favorite for this encounter.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fuerte San Francisco played Águila in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Fuerte San Francisco: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Águila: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.85 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Águila scores 1.42 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fuerte San Francisco 46%, Águila 58%. Over 2.5: Fuerte San Francisco 46%, Águila 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Águila has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.32. Fuerte San Francisco: 9.7 shots per match, Águila: 9.3.
Match halves
Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.54. Águila: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Fuerte San Francisco: 46-60 (6 goals). Águila: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Águila clearly surpasses the hosts in terms of form and quality. Fuerte San Francisco has a mere 8% win rate at home, with a catastrophic goal difference of -16 in home matches and averaging 2 goals conceded per match. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 meetings (0.6 pts/match), while Águila earns 1.8 pts/match and has won 3 of the last 5 matches. The visitors have significantly better shooting efficiency (11% vs 7%), superior ball possession (50% vs 48%), and a much more solid defense on the road (1.13 vs 2.0 conceded goals). Águila holds a 40% win rate on away grounds, which, combined with the hosts' weakness, makes them the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fuerte San Francisco | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.8 pts / match - Águila
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.42 goals / match - Águila
Águila is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.29 goals / match - Águila
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Águila scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
Over / Under - Águila
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 1.42 pts / match - Águila
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fuerte San Francisco
Águila
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Fuerte San Francisco | Liga | Águila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.72 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- ÁguilaGoalCarlos René Garay Velásquez
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalCarlos Alejandro Martínez Galileo
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalJoshua Gallardo
- ÁguilaGoalTomas Granitto
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fuerte San Francisco 0 - 2 - 0 Águila. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Fuerte San Francisco 2:3 Águila. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fuerte San Francisco and Águila?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fuerte San Francisco won 0, Águila won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?
Fuerte San Francisco score 0.85 goals per game on average and Águila 1.42. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Fuerte San Francisco's matches and 58% of Águila's.
What form are Fuerte San Francisco and Águila in?
Over the last 5 games Fuerte San Francisco have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Águila 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.