El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónData current as of 08 September 2026

Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules: match statistics

135%(1.82)
X35%(3.50)
230%(3.80)

The match looks set to be a close encounter between two bottom-table teams with similar defensive issues. Fuerte San Francisco have poor home form with only 9% wins at their stadium and concede an average of 2.18 goals per match, although their last five games show a slight improvement (1 win, 3 draws). Hércules fare slightly better away in terms of efficiency (27% wins), but their recent form is dreadful – four consecutive defeats and only 0.6 points per match. Both teams have a negative goal difference and high conceded goals indicators, suggesting a potential high-scoring affair. Considering both teams' weak defense, the slight home advantage for the hosts, and the visitors' terrible streak, the most likely outcome seems to be a draw, although a narrow home win is also possible.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fuerte San Francisco played Hércules in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Fuerte San Francisco: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Hércules: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.91 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Hércules scores 0.86 and concedes 2.23. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fuerte San Francisco 45%, Hércules 50%. Over 2.5: Fuerte San Francisco 55%, Hércules 59%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Fuerte San Francisco has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.08. Fuerte San Francisco: 9.9 shots per match, Hércules: 7.0.

Match halves

Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59. Hércules: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Fuerte San Francisco: 46-60 (6 goals). Hércules: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Salvadoran Primera División: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match looks set to be a close encounter between two bottom-table teams with similar defensive issues. Fuerte San Francisco have poor home form with only 9% wins at their stadium and concede an average of 2.18 goals per match, although their last five games show a slight improvement (1 win, 3 draws). Hércules fare slightly better away in terms of efficiency (27% wins), but their recent form is dreadful – four consecutive defeats and only 0.6 points per match. Both teams have a negative goal difference and high conceded goals indicators, suggesting a potential high-scoring affair. Considering both teams' weak defense, the slight home advantage for the hosts, and the visitors' terrible streak, the most likely outcome seems to be a draw, although a narrow home win is also possible.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
5Shots4
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
2Shots on target2
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.06xG1.09
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
4Corners8
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
82Dangerous attacks95
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
9Fouls17
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0Cards0
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0.91Goals scored / match0.86
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.73Goals conceded / match2.23
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
45%Average possession48%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
4.27Shots on target / match2.95
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.95Shots per match6.95
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
4.27Shots on target2.95
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
9.1%Shot conversion12.4%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
45%Possession48%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.34xG for1.08
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.6xG against1.63
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Shooting quality

Fuerte San Francisco: BalancedHércules: Balanced
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
Accuracy (shots on target)43%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fuerte San Francisco is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 0.6 pts / match - Hércules

Fuerte San Francisco
DDDWL
Season result split
18% W36% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-10
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-6
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hércules
WLLLL
Season result split
23% W9% R68% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-15
0.77 pts / match · goal difference -30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fuerte San Francisco is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 0.86 goals / match - Hércules

Fuerte San Francisco is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco · 2.23 goals / match - Hércules

Fuerte San Francisco scoring profile: very strong

Fuerte San Francisco scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Hércules keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

Hércules scoring profile: mixed

Hércules scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

20Goals scored (season)19
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
38Goals conceded (season)49
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
2.64Average goals in match3.09
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal59%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
23%2 goals23%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
9%3 goals5%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0%4 goals0%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal86%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
45%2 goals64%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
36%3 goals41%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
9%4 goals18%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Fuerte San Francisco - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 22 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time23%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
23%Scored in both halves9%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
60%BTTS - last 540%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fuerte San Francisco - half-time state
14% leading45% draw41% trailing
Hércules - half-time state
14% leading45% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)0.86
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.41
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.27
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
50%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
68%No goal before half-time64%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)0.64
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)1.36
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.82
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
55%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules
50%No goal after half-time68%
Fuerte San FranciscoHércules

Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results

32% W32% R36% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hércules - second-half results

14% W23% R64% P
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fuerte San Francisco - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hércules - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fuerte San Francisco
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
2
6
16-30
4
8
31-45
6
7
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hércules
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
1
6
16-30
4
9
31-45
3
7
46-60
3
12
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fuerte San Francisco

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Hércules

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

Fuerte San FranciscoLigaHércules
Average goals in match 2.642.75 3.09
Both teams scored 45%56% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%55% 59%
Clean sheets 36%27% 14%
Goal before half-time 64%70% 68%
Goal after half-time 77%78% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jesús AguirreMatches officiated: 14
-Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins21%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Fuerte San Francisco 1 - 1 - 0 Hércules. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Hércules
0 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 0
Hércules

FAQ

What was the result of Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules?

The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Fuerte San Francisco 1:1 Hércules. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fuerte San Francisco and Hércules?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fuerte San Francisco won 1, Hércules won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules?

Fuerte San Francisco score 0.91 goals per game on average and Hércules 0.86. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Fuerte San Francisco's matches and 50% of Hércules's.

What form are Fuerte San Francisco and Hércules in?

Over the last 5 games Fuerte San Francisco have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Hércules 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fuerte San Francisco vs Hércules: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.