Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai: match statistics

Both teams have collected 8 points from their last 5 matches, recording identical returns of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, so the difference in form is minimal. However, Fujieda MYFC have been more effective during this period, scoring 7 goals compared with Vegalta Sendai’s 5. The hosts have also shown greater defensive stability, conceding 4 goals in five matches versus 5 for the visitors. Their position in the table provides an additional argument, with Fujieda sitting 4th and Vegalta 18th, suggesting greater potential for the home side. A draw remains a realistic outcome given that both teams have registered two draws in their last five appearances, but the goal difference points towards a Fujieda victory.

The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, as Fujieda MYFC saw both teams score in only 20% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Vegalta Sendai. During this period, the hosts conceded just 0.8 goals per match, fewer than Sendai’s average of 1.0 goal scored. Fujieda scored 7 goals in five matches, while their opponents found the net only 4 times, suggesting a frequent scenario involving one side keeping a clean sheet. Sendai’s attacking xG stands at 1.46, but the hosts allowed opponents just 1.18 xG, meaning the visitors lack the clear advantage needed to score with confidence. BTTS - No also includes results where only one team scores, and the current data support this outcome more strongly than goals at both ends.

The available five-match profile of both teams points to a moderate number of goals: Fujieda averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Vegalta scored and conceded 1.0 goal per match. The combined totals from these runs were 11 goals in Fujieda’s five matches and 10 in Vegalta’s, equating to 2.2 and 2.0 goals per game, respectively. The 2.5-goal line was surpassed in only 40% of the hosts’ last five matches and just 20% of the visitors’ games, which does not support an open-game scenario. The average xG figures are similar and moderate, with Fujieda creating chances worth 1.41 xG while allowing 1.18 xG, and Vegalta recording 1.46 and 1.12, respectively. A projection of 2.20 goals gives a clear edge to Under 3.5 goals, as at least four goals are required for this bet to lose.

Over their last five matches, Fujieda MYFC have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Vegalta Sendai have recorded averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The hosts did not trail at half-time in any of these matches, led at the break in 40% of them and posted a first-half goal difference of +2; the visitors led at half-time in only 20% and went into the break behind in 40%. Fujieda averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before half-time, whereas Sendai managed just 0.2 goals scored and conceded 0.6. After the interval, both teams average 0.8 goals scored, giving the hosts’ early advantage a solid foundation to be maintained. The most likely outcome is therefore Fujieda leading at half-time and winning the match, corresponding to an HT/FT 1/1 selection.