Fulham vs Burnley: match statistics
Fulham are displaying significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at their ground and a positive goal difference of +6 at home. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals per home game with a solid 12% conversion rate and 53% possession. Burnley sit in 19th place in the table with disastrous away form - 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -18 in away matches. The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals per away game, which, combined with their weak offense (1.13 goals per game) and only 0.4 points per match in their last five outings, makes them a clear underdog. The xG statistics also favor Fulham (1.48 vs 0.98), confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage in this clash.
Fulham vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fulham played Burnley in Premier League (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Fulham: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Burnley: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fulham scores 1.33 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.07 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fulham 60%, Burnley 57%. Over 2.5: Fulham 57%, Burnley 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Fulham has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.08. Fulham: 12.0 shots per match, Burnley: 9.3.
Match halves
Fulham: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.83. Burnley: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Fulham: 76-90+ (12 goals). Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fulham are displaying significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at their ground and a positive goal difference of +6 at home. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals per home game with a solid 12% conversion rate and 53% possession. Burnley sit in 19th place in the table with disastrous away form - 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -18 in away matches. The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals per away game, which, combined with their weak offense (1.13 goals per game) and only 0.4 points per match in their last five outings, makes them a clear underdog. The xG statistics also favor Fulham (1.48 vs 0.98), confirming the hosts' qualitative advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fulham | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fulham is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fulham · 1 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fulham is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Fulham · 1.07 goals / match - Burnley
Fulham is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Fulham · 1.93 goals / match - Burnley
Fulham scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
Burnley scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Fulham keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fulham
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fulham is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Fulham · 0.67 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fulham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fulham
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fulham | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.77 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fulham 1 - 0 - 0 Burnley. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fulham vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Fulham 3:1 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fulham vs Burnley?
Fulham score 1.33 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.07. The Premier League average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Fulham's matches and 57% of Burnley's.
What form are Fulham and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Fulham have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Burnley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fulham vs Burnley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.