Fulham vs Chelsea: match statistics
Chelsea displays slightly better away form with a 40% win rate on the road and a higher average of goals scored (1.8 vs 1.7). The visitors sit in 5th place in the table, significantly higher than Fulham in 11th, indicating their overall superiority this season. Chelsea dominates possession (57% vs 53%) and boasts a better shots on target ratio away from home (4.7 vs 3.5 for Fulham at home). Recent form for both teams is similar (Fulham: 1.6 PPG, Chelsea: 1.2 PPG); however, Chelsea has a superior goal difference on the road (+7) compared to Fulham at home (+5). Expected xG also favors the visitors (1.48 vs 1.41), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, Chelsea holds a slight edge, though the match promises to be tight with the possibility of a draw.
Fulham vs Chelsea: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fulham played Chelsea in Premier League (England). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fulham: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Chelsea: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fulham scores 1.40 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Chelsea scores 1.65 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fulham 60%, Chelsea 60%. Over 2.5: Fulham 50%, Chelsea 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Chelsea has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.34. Fulham: 11.8 shots per match, Chelsea: 13.9.
Match halves
Fulham: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Chelsea: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Fulham: 76-90+ (7 goals). Chelsea: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chelsea displays slightly better away form with a 40% win rate on the road and a higher average of goals scored (1.8 vs 1.7). The visitors sit in 5th place in the table, significantly higher than Fulham in 11th, indicating their overall superiority this season. Chelsea dominates possession (57% vs 53%) and boasts a better shots on target ratio away from home (4.7 vs 3.5 for Fulham at home). Recent form for both teams is similar (Fulham: 1.6 PPG, Chelsea: 1.2 PPG); however, Chelsea has a superior goal difference on the road (+7) compared to Fulham at home (+5). Expected xG also favors the visitors (1.48 vs 1.41), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, Chelsea holds a slight edge, though the match promises to be tight with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fulham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fulham is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Fulham · 1.2 pts / match - Chelsea
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Fulham · 1.65 goals / match - Chelsea
Chelsea is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Fulham · 1.1 goals / match - Chelsea
Fulham scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Chelsea scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Fulham keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fulham
Over / Under - Chelsea
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Fulham · 1.55 pts / match - Chelsea
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fulham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fulham
Chelsea
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fulham | Liga | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.79 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fulham 0 - 0 - 1 Chelsea. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fulham vs Chelsea?
The Premier League match finished Fulham 2:1 Chelsea. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fulham vs Chelsea?
Fulham score 1.40 goals per game on average and Chelsea 1.65. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Fulham's matches and 60% of Chelsea's.
What form are Fulham and Chelsea in?
Over the last 5 games Fulham have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Chelsea 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fulham vs Chelsea?
The statistical background for Fulham vs Chelsea — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.