Fylde vs Altrincham: match statistics

Fylde sit 3rd, while Altrincham are 15th, with the hosts scoring 17 goals this season compared to just 8 by their opponents. At home, Fylde average 2.00 goals per match, register 5.33 shots on target, and have never failed to score, whereas Altrincham score only 0.75 goals away from home. The quality of chances created also favors the hosts: their average xG stands at 1.54, compared with 0.97 for the visitors, who are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home and concede an average of 2.00 goals. Fylde are unbeaten at home, although as many as 67% of their home matches have ended in draws, increasing the significance of the draw outcome. Despite Altrincham winning 3 of their last 5 matches overall, their weaker away record, including a 75% loss rate, points to a home advantage.

Fylde have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while the rate stands at 80% for both teams across their last five fixtures. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals, while Altrincham concede 2.00 goals per match, clearly strengthening Fylde’s chances of finding the net. Although the visitors average just 0.75 goals per game this season, Fylde’s defence have yet to keep a single clean sheet and allow opponents an average of 1.67 goals. Altrincham’s recent attacking form is better than their season average, with the team scoring 1.4 goals per game in their last five appearances, alongside an xG of 1.22. The risk of BTTS - No mainly stems from the visitors’ weaker season-long scoring efficiency and the fact that Altrincham have failed to score in 50% of their matches. However, the current data offers stronger support for both teams to score.

Fylde score an average of 1.67 goals at home, while Altrincham concede as many as 2.00 goals per away game, clearly strengthening the prospect of at least two goals. The hosts are also in excellent attacking form: they have scored 2.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches, while the visitors have conceded 1.8 goals during this period. Neither team has kept a clean sheet under the conditions analysed, and in each side’s last five matches, Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring have landed 80% of the time. The average xG figures indicate Fylde’s advantage in chance creation, with 1.41 compared to Altrincham’s 0.97, while the respective defences allow opponents 1.56 and 1.66 xG. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the regularity of open matches limits the risk of a very low-scoring outcome, although the 2.5 line remains more evenly balanced.

Fylde have a clear advantage in home matches: they win 67% of their games, score an average of 1.67 goals, and record 2.0 points per match, while Altrincham lose 75% of their away fixtures and concede an average of 2.0 goals. The hosts also create more high-quality chances, as reflected by their xG of 1.41 compared with the opponents’ 0.97, as well as an average of 4.67 shots on target per match against 2.25 for the visitors. In their last five appearances, Fylde led at the break in 60% of cases and conceded just 0.2 goals per match in the first half, whereas Altrincham scored an average of 0.8 goals before half-time. The most likely scenario is therefore that the hosts make a strong start, take the lead at the break, and maintain their advantage until the final whistle — an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.