England - National LeagueMill Farm StadiumData current as of 02 September 2026

Fylde vs Worthing: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Fylde vs Worthing: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fylde play Worthing in National League (England). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Mill Farm Stadium.

Current form

Fylde: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Worthing: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fylde scores 2.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Worthing scores 1.80 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fylde 80%, Worthing 80%. Over 2.5: Fylde 80%, Worthing 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Fylde has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.31. Fylde: 9.4 shots per match, Worthing: 10.6.

Match halves

Fylde: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20. Worthing: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Fylde: 31-45+ (5 goals). Worthing: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(2.25)
(3.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.2Goals scored / match1.8
FyldeWorthing
1.4Goals conceded / match2
FyldeWorthing
56%Average possession50%
FyldeWorthing
4.8Shots on target / match4.4
FyldeWorthing

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.4Shots per match10.6
FyldeWorthing
4.8Shots on target4.4
FyldeWorthing
23.4%Shot conversion17%
FyldeWorthing
56%Possession50%
FyldeWorthing
1.33xG for1.31
FyldeWorthing
1.56xG against1.9
FyldeWorthing

Shooting quality

Fylde: Efficient finishingWorthing: Efficient finishing
FyldeWorthing
Accuracy (shots on target)51%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fylde is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Fylde · 1.2 pts / match - Worthing

Fylde
DWLWW
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Worthing
WLWLL
Season result split
40% W0% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fylde is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

2.2 goals / match - Fylde · 1.8 goals / match - Worthing

Fylde is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Fylde · 2 goals / match - Worthing

Fylde scoring profile: very strong

Fylde scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Worthing keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Worthing scoring profile: very strong

Worthing scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Fylde keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

11Goals scored (season)9
FyldeWorthing
7Goals conceded (season)10
FyldeWorthing
3.6Average goals in match3.8
FyldeWorthing
11Goals scored (last 5)9
FyldeWorthing
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
FyldeWorthing

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
FyldeWorthing
100%2 goals60%
FyldeWorthing
20%3 goals20%
FyldeWorthing
0%4 goals0%
FyldeWorthing

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
FyldeWorthing
40%2 goals80%
FyldeWorthing
20%3 goals40%
FyldeWorthing
0%4 goals0%
FyldeWorthing

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
FyldeWorthing
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FyldeWorthing
40%Scored in both halves40%
FyldeWorthing

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
FyldeWorthing
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FyldeWorthing
80%BTTS - last 580%
FyldeWorthing

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
FyldeWorthing
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
FyldeWorthing
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FyldeWorthing

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
FyldeWorthing
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
FyldeWorthing
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time60%
FyldeWorthing

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Worthing is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / match - Fylde · 2.4 pts / match - Worthing

Fylde - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
Worthing - half-time state
80% leading0% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per match (1st half)2.4
FyldeWorthing
1Goals scored (1st half)0.8
FyldeWorthing
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
FyldeWorthing
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
FyldeWorthing
80%Clean sheet before half-time80%
FyldeWorthing
40%No goal before half-time20%
FyldeWorthing

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.8
FyldeWorthing
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)1
FyldeWorthing
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.8
FyldeWorthing
2.4Average goals (2nd half)2.8
FyldeWorthing
40%Clean sheet after half-time20%
FyldeWorthing
20%No goal after half-time40%
FyldeWorthing

Fylde - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Worthing - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.6

Concedes 1.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fylde - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Worthing - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.8
Average goals in match1.02.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fylde
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
5
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Worthing
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
80%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fylde

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Worthing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

FyldeLigaWorthing
Average goals in match 3.603.10 3.80
Both teams scored 80%67% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%62% 80%
Clean sheets 20%17% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%72% 100%
Goal after half-time 80%88% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Fylde and Worthing play?

Fylde face Worthing on 5 September 2026 in National League at Mill Farm Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fylde vs Worthing?

Fylde score 2.20 goals per game on average and Worthing 1.80. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Fylde's matches and 80% of Worthing's.

What form are Fylde and Worthing in?

Over the last 5 games Fylde have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Worthing 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fylde vs Worthing?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.