Gagra vs Meshakhte: match statistics
Gagra vs Meshakhte: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gagra played Meshakhte in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadioni Mtskheta Parki. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gagra: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Meshakhte: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gagra scores 0.92 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Meshakhte scores 0.73 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gagra 54%, Meshakhte 54%. Over 2.5: Gagra 42%, Meshakhte 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Gagra has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.95. Gagra: 10.2 shots per match, Meshakhte: 7.2.
Match halves
Gagra: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.58. Meshakhte: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Gagra: 76-90+ (7 goals). Meshakhte: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gagra have a slight home advantage: they average 1.08 goals at home, with an xG of 1.52, while Meshakhte create chances worth just 1.01 xG away from home. The visitors lose 54% of their away matches and concede an average of 1.54 goals per game on the road, whereas Gagra allow opponents 1.15 goals at home. Both teams have identical records in their last five matches—1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses—but the hosts have scored only 3 goals during this period, which limits confidence in backing a high-margin victory. However, Gagra’s high home-draw rate of 46% is significant, so the most realistic outcome remains a narrow home win, with a clear risk of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No comes from current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in just 20% of games. During this period, Gagra averaged 0.6 goals and Meshakhte 0.8, with only 3 and 4 goals scored respectively across five appearances. The hosts failed to score in 54% of their matches this season, while their seasonal average is only 0.54 goals, which significantly reduces the chance of both teams finding the net. Meshakhte have a higher seasonal BTTS rate, 62% compared with Gagra’s 46%, but their recent finishing has declined, and their average xG of 0.93 is below 1.00. Both sides still allow opponents chances, with average xG against of 1.62 and 1.51, but weak attacking output and recent results point more strongly towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have limited attacking potential: Gagra score an average of 0.54 goals, while Meshakhte score 0.92 goals per match. In their last five matches, the hosts scored just 3 goals and the visitors 4, while games featuring Over 2.5 goals accounted for only 20% of cases for both sides. The quality-of-chances metrics are also moderate, with average xG of 0.88 for Gagra and 1.01 for Meshakhte, despite their defenses allowing opponents 1.62 and 1.51 xG respectively. Historically, 69% of Gagra’s matches and 77% of Meshakhte’s ended with Under 3.5 goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest pick with a projected total of 2.20 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Gagra were level after 45 minutes in 54% of their matches, while Meshakhte did so in as many as 62%; both teams average just 0.31 goals before the break. After half-time, the advantage should shift towards the visitors, who score an average of 0.62 goals compared with Gagra’s mere 0.23. The hosts are also particularly vulnerable to conceding after the break, allowing 0.92 goals per match during that period, while Meshakhte have the higher season-long xG, at 1.01 versus 0.88. The visitors create more chances, averaging 8.0 shots and 2.38 on target per match, compared with Gagra’s 6.46 and 2.08. The X/2 scenario is also supported by the hosts’ poor record without a win and their average of 1.77 goals conceded per match, compared with Meshakhte’s 15% win rate and lower average of 1.54 goals conceded.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Meshakhte | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Meshakhte is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gagra · 1 pts / match - Meshakhte
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gagra is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Gagra · 0.73 goals / match - Meshakhte
Gagra is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Gagra · 1.65 goals / match - Meshakhte
Gagra scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Meshakhte keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Meshakhte scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gagra
Over / Under - Meshakhte
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gagra is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Gagra · 0.81 pts / match - Meshakhte
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Meshakhte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 8%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gagra
Meshakhte
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Meshakhte | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Gagra 0 - 2 - 0 Meshakhte. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Meshakhte?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 1:1 Meshakhte. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Meshakhte?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gagra won 0, Meshakhte won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Gagra score 0.92 goals per game on average and Meshakhte 0.73. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Gagra's matches and 54% of Meshakhte's.
What form are Gagra and Meshakhte in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Meshakhte 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Meshakhte?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.