Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor: match statistics
Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Galatasaray played Antalyaspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Galatasaray: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Antalyaspor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Galatasaray scores 2.28 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Antalyaspor scores 0.94 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Galatasaray 56%, Antalyaspor 50%. Over 2.5: Galatasaray 69%, Antalyaspor 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Galatasaray has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.08. Galatasaray: 16.3 shots per match, Antalyaspor: 9.5.
Match halves
Galatasaray: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.28. Antalyaspor: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Galatasaray: 76-90+ (15 goals). Antalyaspor: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Galatasaray, as league leader (1.), holds a clear home advantage — winning 75% of home matches, averaging 65% possession, registering 6.94 shots on target and scoring 2.63 goals per home game. Antalyaspor sit 15th and display pronounced inefficiency on the road: only 19% wins, 63% of away matches without scoring, 2.88 shots on target on average and 0.56 goals per away game. The difference in quality of chances is significant — average xG is 2.13 for Galatasaray at home versus 0.93 for Antalyaspor (difference +1.20), while defensively the hosts concede 0.75 goals per game compared to 1.13 conceded by the visitors. In the last 5 matches Galatasaray have scored 7 and conceded 8 (record 2-1-2, 1.4 points per game), whereas Antalyaspor have scored 5 and conceded 8 (1-1-3, 0.8 points per game), which further supports the home side as favorites. Considering the superiority in scoring opportunities, better shot conversion (13% vs 7%) and the high share of games without a goal for Antalyaspor, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Galatasaray at home records BTTS in 75% of matches and concedes on average 2.06 goals per game, while Antalyaspor away has BTTS only in 25% and scores on average 0.56 goals on the road. In the last 5 matches Galatasaray had BTTS in 60% and scored 7 goals (conceding 8), whereas Antalyaspor in their last 5 has BTTS 20% and scored 5 goals (conceding 8), which shows a greater propensity for the hosts to be involved in goal-filled games. xG analysis confirms this dynamic: Galatasaray at home generates 1.23 xG (last 5: 1.62) and has a higher shot conversion of 12% versus Antalyaspor's 7%, while Antalyaspor away records 0.93 xG (last 5: 1.44). Additionally, Galatasaray keeps a clean sheet in only 13% of home matches, and the league average is 55% BTTS, so the strongest signal from the data is Both Teams To Score. Based on this I assess the probability of BTTS at 65% (yes) and 35% (no) and select 'yes' as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, I expect 1.46 goals for Galatasaray and 1.19 goals for Antalyaspor — home offensive 1.23 xG versus away defensive 1.69 xG gives (1.23+1.69)/2 = 1.46, and (0.93+1.44)/2 = 1.19 for the visitors, total ~2.65 goals. This 2.65 is slightly above the league average of 2.61 and supports season-long signals: Galatasaray at home has 94% of matches with over 1.5 goals and 75% over 2.5, while Antalyaspor away has 38% over 1.5 and 25% over 2.5. The hosts average 10.94 shots and 4.0 shots on target with a 12% conversion, versus 8.0 shots, 2.88 shots on target and 7% conversion for the visitors, which increases the probability of at least 2 goals in the match. A distribution model with a combined mean of 2.65 yields estimated probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈74%, Over 2.5 ≈50% and Over 3.5 ≈28%. Additionally, in the last 5 matches home xG is 1.62 versus 1.44 for the away side, confirming the trend; therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Galatasaray has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 5 matches (31%) versus 1 case for Antalyaspor (6%) and average 0.63 goals by half-time compared to 0.19 for the visitors. The home side generate higher xG (1.23 vs 0.93), register more shots on target (4.0 vs 2.88) and have better conversion (12% vs 7%), which increases the likelihood of taking and maintaining a lead at the break. Admittedly Galatasaray concede on average 1.38 goals after the break, while Antalyaspor score 0.38 after half-time on average, so there is a risk of a turnaround, but the hosts’ offensive potential is clearly greater. In the last 5 matches Galatasaray led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 1.0 goals by half-time, confirming their form in the first 45 minutes; therefore the most likely scenario is Galatasaray leading at half-time and the hosts winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Galatasaray | Antalyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Galatasaray is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Galatasaray · 0.8 pts / match - Antalyaspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Galatasaray is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
2.28 goals / match - Galatasaray · 0.94 goals / match - Antalyaspor
Galatasaray is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Galatasaray · 1.59 goals / match - Antalyaspor
Galatasaray scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Antalyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Antalyaspor scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Galatasaray keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Galatasaray
Over / Under - Antalyaspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Galatasaray is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Galatasaray · 1.03 pts / match - Antalyaspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Galatasaray - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Antalyaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Galatasaray | Liga | Antalyaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.61 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Galatasaray 1 - 0 - 0 Antalyaspor. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?
The Süper Lig match finished Galatasaray 4:2 Antalyaspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?
Galatasaray score 2.28 goals per game on average and Antalyaspor 0.94. The Süper Lig average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Galatasaray's matches and 50% of Antalyaspor's.
What form are Galatasaray and Antalyaspor in?
Over the last 5 games Galatasaray have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Antalyaspor 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?
The statistical background for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.