Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor: match statistics
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Galatasaray played Kocaelispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Galatasaray: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kocaelispor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Galatasaray scores 2.36 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Kocaelispor scores 0.82 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Galatasaray 54%, Kocaelispor 36%. Over 2.5: Galatasaray 68%, Kocaelispor 32%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Galatasaray has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.15. Galatasaray: 16.6 shots per match, Kocaelispor: 10.4.
Match halves
Galatasaray: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.39. Kocaelispor: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Galatasaray: 76-90+ (14 goals). Kocaelispor: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Galatasaray are clear favorites: at home they win 79% of matches, score 2.71 goals on average with an xG of 2.16, register 65% possession and 6.93 shots on target per game, whereas Kocaelispor average 0.69 goals away, have xG 1.02 and only 2.54 shots on target. The hosts have scored 66 goals this season versus 23 by Kocaelispor, and shot conversion 13% vs 8% underscores the offensive efficiency gap. Defensively Galatasaray concede only 0.79 goals at home (opposing xG 0.99), while the visitors concede 1.62 goals away (opposing xG 1.4) and fail to score in 54% of away matches. In the last 5 games the hosts have scored 8 goals and average 1.8 points per game, while Kocaelispor have scored 2 goals and average 0.8 points per game, illustrating the form differential. Given the superior game control, efficiency and clear defensive metrics, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor No Goal: Kocaelispor fail to score in 54% of their matches this season, while Galatasaray keep a clean sheet in 47% of games. Seasonal BTTS rates are only 33% for the home side and 38% for the visitors, both below the league average of 55%. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred for Galatasaray in 40% of games and for Kocaelispor in just 20%, with Kocaelispor averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in those fixtures. The hosts create more chances (11.73 shots and 3.53 shots on target) and have xG 1.27 versus the visitors’ xG 1.02, indicating opportunities will largely come from Galatasaray while the opponent shows limited efficiency; therefore I assess BTTS - Yes at 30% and No Goal at 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimates based on xG and match statistics yield a total expected goals value of approximately 2.37, split into 1.34 for Galatasaray and 1.03 for Kocaelispor. This stems from Galatasaray’s attacking xG of 1.27 versus Kocaelispor’s average xG conceded of 1.40, and Kocaelispor’s attacking xG of 1.02 versus Galatasaray’s defensive xG of 1.05. With a total of 2.37, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is roughly 68–69%, Over 2.5 is about 42%, and Over 3.5 only around 21%. Additionally, Galatasaray averages 11.73 shots and 3.53 on target and has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 per match) with 80% of those matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Kocaelispor has scored 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match). Based on this, the strongest and most economical signal is to play Over 1.5, as an approximate 69% probability offers value compared to the lower chances for the 2.5 and 3.5 lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most common state is a draw: home teams are level at the break in 67% of matches, and away teams in 62%, which strongly favors a draw as the HT outcome. After the break the home side looks stronger — average xG for the home team is 1.27 versus 1.02 for the visitors, average shots on target 3.53 vs 2.54, and in the last five matches the home team has scored an average of 1.0 goals after the break compared to 0.2 for the away side. Additionally, home teams win 40% of matches versus 23% for away teams and have better half-time metrics (average points at the break 1.47 vs 1.08; goals scored by half-time 0.47 vs 0.23 for the opponent), indicating a greater ability to produce a turnaround after the interval. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with Galatasaray winning full-time (X/1) — I assign this a 36% probability; alternatively draw/draw (X/X) 22%, and the least likely is the away side leading and winning (2/2) at 4%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Galatasaray | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Galatasaray is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Galatasaray · 0.8 pts / match - Kocaelispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Galatasaray is 188% better for: goals scored per match.
2.36 goals / match - Galatasaray · 0.82 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Galatasaray is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Galatasaray · 1.14 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Galatasaray scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
Kocaelispor scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Galatasaray keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Galatasaray
Over / Under - Kocaelispor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Galatasaray is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / match - Galatasaray · 1.29 pts / match - Kocaelispor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Galatasaray - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Galatasaray | Liga | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.62 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 66% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Galatasaray 0 - 0 - 1 Kocaelispor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Galatasaray 1:1 Kocaelispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
Galatasaray score 2.36 goals per game on average and Kocaelispor 0.82. The Süper Lig average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Galatasaray's matches and 36% of Kocaelispor's.
What form are Galatasaray and Kocaelispor in?
Over the last 5 games Galatasaray have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kocaelispor 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.