Ireland - Premier DivisionData current as of 08 September 2026

Galway United vs Waterford: match statistics

Galway United crest
Galway United
4 : 3half-time 2:2
Waterford crest
Waterford
155%(1.80)
X25%(3.40)
220%(3.80)

Galway United has a clear advantage over Waterford, as confirmed by the visitors' away statistics. Waterford has not won any of their three away matches this season, conceding an average of 3.67 goals per game and presenting a goal difference of -9. The hosts maintain balanced home form with an even 33% split of wins, draws, and losses, along with a positive goal difference in their home matches. The xG metric also favors Galway (1.57 vs 1.42), and the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches. Although both teams' form over their last five matches is not impressive, Waterford's away stats indicate significant defensive and offensive issues, giving Galway United a realistic chance at all three points.

Galway United vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Galway United played Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 4:3.

Current form

Galway United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Waterford: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Galway United scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Waterford scores 0.50 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Galway United 33%, Waterford 33%. Over 2.5: Galway United 17%, Waterford 33%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Waterford has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Galway United: 10.5 shots per match, Waterford: 12.3.

Match halves

Galway United: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Waterford: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Galway United: 61-75 (2 goals). Waterford: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Galway United has a clear advantage over Waterford, as confirmed by the visitors' away statistics. Waterford has not won any of their three away matches this season, conceding an average of 3.67 goals per game and presenting a goal difference of -9. The hosts maintain balanced home form with an even 33% split of wins, draws, and losses, along with a positive goal difference in their home matches. The xG metric also favors Galway (1.57 vs 1.42), and the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches. Although both teams' form over their last five matches is not impressive, Waterford's away stats indicate significant defensive and offensive issues, giving Galway United a realistic chance at all three points.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Galway UnitedWaterford
20Shots18
Galway UnitedWaterford
9Shots on target3
Galway UnitedWaterford
2.15xG1.73
Galway UnitedWaterford
2Corners11
Galway UnitedWaterford
36Dangerous attacks54
Galway UnitedWaterford
13Fouls12
Galway UnitedWaterford
3Cards2
Galway UnitedWaterford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Galway UnitedWaterford
0.67Goals scored / match0.5
Galway UnitedWaterford
1Goals conceded / match2.17
Galway UnitedWaterford
38%Average possession43%
Galway UnitedWaterford
3.17Shots on target / match3
Galway UnitedWaterford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match12.33
Galway UnitedWaterford
3.17Shots on target3
Galway UnitedWaterford
6.3%Shot conversion4.1%
Galway UnitedWaterford
38%Possession43%
Galway UnitedWaterford
1.21xG for1.31
Galway UnitedWaterford
1.63xG against2.09
Galway UnitedWaterford

Shooting quality

Galway United: BalancedWaterford: Balanced
Galway UnitedWaterford
Accuracy (shots on target)30%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Galway United is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Galway United · 0.2 pts / match - Waterford

Galway United
DWLDL
Season result split
17% W33% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Waterford
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-4
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 2.05BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Galway United is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Galway United · 0.5 goals / match - Waterford

Galway United is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Galway United · 2.17 goals / match - Waterford

Galway United scoring profile: strong

Galway United scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Waterford scoring profile: mixed

Waterford scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Galway United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

4Goals scored (season)3
Galway UnitedWaterford
6Goals conceded (season)13
Galway UnitedWaterford
1.67Average goals in match2.67
Galway UnitedWaterford
4Goals scored (last 5)2
Galway UnitedWaterford
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
Galway UnitedWaterford

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal33%
Galway UnitedWaterford
17%2 goals17%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%3 goals0%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%4 goals0%
Galway UnitedWaterford

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
Galway UnitedWaterford
17%2 goals50%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%3 goals33%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%4 goals33%
Galway UnitedWaterford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%Scored in both halves17%
Galway UnitedWaterford

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Galway UnitedWaterford
40%BTTS - last 520%
Galway UnitedWaterford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Galway UnitedWaterford
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Galway UnitedWaterford

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Galway UnitedWaterford
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Galway UnitedWaterford
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Galway UnitedWaterford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Galway United is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Galway United · 0.67 pts / match - Waterford

Galway United - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Waterford - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)0.67
Galway UnitedWaterford
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Galway UnitedWaterford
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)1
Galway UnitedWaterford
0.33Average goals (1st half)1.17
Galway UnitedWaterford
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Galway UnitedWaterford
83%No goal before half-time83%
Galway UnitedWaterford

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1
Galway UnitedWaterford
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Galway UnitedWaterford
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Galway UnitedWaterford
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Galway UnitedWaterford
17%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Galway UnitedWaterford
67%No goal after half-time67%
Galway UnitedWaterford

Galway United - second-half results

17% W33% R50% P
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Waterford - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Galway United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Waterford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Galway United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Waterford
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
17%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
34%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Galway United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Waterford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

Galway UnitedLigaWaterford
Average goals in match 1.672.35 2.67
Both teams scored 33%44% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%41% 33%
Clean sheets 17%35% 17%
Goal before half-time 33%56% 83%
Goal after half-time 83%68% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Galway UnitedGoalKristopher TwardekAssist: Aaron Bolger
  2. WaterfordYellow cardHayden Cann
  3. Galway UnitedGoalGianfranco Facchineri
  4. WaterfordGoalPádraig AmondAssist: Jörgen Voilas
  5. WaterfordYellow cardLuke Heeney
  6. Galway UnitedGoalDavid Hurley
  7. Galway UnitedSubstitutionOn: Edward McCarthyOff: James Clifford John Keohane
  8. Galway UnitedSubstitutionOn: Frantz PierrotOff: Stephen Walsh
  9. Galway UnitedGoalKristopher TwardekAssist: David Hurley
  10. Galway UnitedYellow cardFrantz Pierrot
  11. Galway UnitedYellow cardEdward McCarthy
  12. Galway UnitedSubstitutionOn: Connor BarrattOff: Matthew Wolfe
  13. WaterfordSubstitutionOn: Dean McMenamyOff: Luke Heeney
  14. Galway UnitedYellow cardDavid Hurley
  15. Galway UnitedGoalFrantz Pierrot
  16. WaterfordGoalTom Lonergan

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Galway United 1 - 1 - 2 Waterford. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Waterford FC
1 : 1
Galway United FC
Galway United FC
2 : 4
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
1 : 0
Galway United FC
Galway United FC
1 : 0
Waterford FC

FAQ

What was the result of Galway United vs Waterford?

The Premier Division match finished Galway United 4:3 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Galway United and Waterford?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Galway United won 1, Waterford won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Galway United vs Waterford?

Galway United score 0.67 goals per game on average and Waterford 0.50. The Premier Division average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Galway United's matches and 33% of Waterford's.

What form are Galway United and Waterford in?

Over the last 5 games Galway United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Waterford 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Galway United vs Waterford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.