South Korea - K League 1Chuncheon Songam StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

Gangwon vs Incheon United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gangwon vs Incheon United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gangwon play Incheon United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Chuncheon Songam Stadium.

Current form

Gangwon: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Incheon United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gangwon scores 1.23 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gangwon 42%, Incheon United 55%. Over 2.5: Gangwon 39%, Incheon United 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Gangwon has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.41. Gangwon: 13.0 shots per match, Incheon United: 10.7.

Match halves

Gangwon: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Incheon United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Gangwon: 76-90+ (13 goals). Incheon United: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.21)
(3.10)
(3.39)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GangwonIncheon United
1.23Goals scored / match1.26
GangwonIncheon United
0.9Goals conceded / match1.06
GangwonIncheon United
52%Average possession52%
GangwonIncheon United
4.45Shots on target / match3.74
GangwonIncheon United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.03Shots per match10.71
GangwonIncheon United
4.45Shots on target3.74
GangwonIncheon United
9.4%Shot conversion11.7%
GangwonIncheon United
52%Possession52%
GangwonIncheon United
1.65xG for1.41
GangwonIncheon United
1.19xG against1.29
GangwonIncheon United

Shooting quality

Gangwon: BalancedIncheon United: Balanced
GangwonIncheon United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Incheon United is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Gangwon · 1.6 pts / match - Incheon United

Gangwon
DDLDW
Season result split
35% W42% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-13-7
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-8-3
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Incheon United
WLDDW
Season result split
35% W29% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-11
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gangwon is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.9 goals / match - Gangwon · 1.06 goals / match - Incheon United

Gangwon scoring profile: strong

Gangwon scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

Incheon United scoring profile: strong

Incheon United scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Gangwon keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 matches).

38Goals scored (season)39
GangwonIncheon United
28Goals conceded (season)33
GangwonIncheon United
2.13Average goals in match2.32
GangwonIncheon United
5Goals scored (last 5)7
GangwonIncheon United
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
GangwonIncheon United

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal77%
GangwonIncheon United
39%2 goals32%
GangwonIncheon United
13%3 goals13%
GangwonIncheon United
0%4 goals3%
GangwonIncheon United

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal71%
GangwonIncheon United
26%2 goals26%
GangwonIncheon United
10%3 goals10%
GangwonIncheon United
0%4 goals0%
GangwonIncheon United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time23%
GangwonIncheon United
3%BTTS in both halves6%
GangwonIncheon United
19%Scored in both halves23%
GangwonIncheon United

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
GangwonIncheon United
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
GangwonIncheon United
40%BTTS - last 560%
GangwonIncheon United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
GangwonIncheon United
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
GangwonIncheon United
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
GangwonIncheon United

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
GangwonIncheon United
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
GangwonIncheon United
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
GangwonIncheon United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Incheon United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / match - Gangwon · 1.35 pts / match - Incheon United

Gangwon - half-time state
29% leading39% draw32% trailing
Incheon United - half-time state
26% leading58% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)1.35
GangwonIncheon United
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.71
GangwonIncheon United
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
GangwonIncheon United
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.13
GangwonIncheon United
58%Clean sheet before half-time61%
GangwonIncheon United
65%No goal before half-time52%
GangwonIncheon United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1.23
GangwonIncheon United
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
GangwonIncheon United
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
GangwonIncheon United
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.19
GangwonIncheon United
74%Clean sheet after half-time52%
GangwonIncheon United
45%No goal after half-time48%
GangwonIncheon United

Gangwon - second-half results

39% W52% D10% L
39
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Incheon United - second-half results

29% W35% D35% L
42
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gangwon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gangwon
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
7
31-45
6
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
13
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
1
16-30
15
8
31-45
3
7
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-78%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gangwon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

GangwonLigaIncheon United
Average goals in match▼ 2.132.47▼ 2.32
Both teams scored▼ 42%53%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 39%46%▲ 48%
Clean sheets▲ 45%29%• 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 68%61%▲ 65%
Goal after half-time▼ 65%76%• 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-7%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Gangwon 1 - 1 - 0 Incheon United. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Gangwon and Incheon United play?

Gangwon face Incheon United on 18 October 2026 in K League 1 at Chuncheon Songam Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gangwon and Incheon United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gangwon won 1, Incheon United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gangwon vs Incheon United?

Gangwon score 1.23 goals per game on average and Incheon United 1.26. The K League 1 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Gangwon's matches and 55% of Incheon United's.

What form are Gangwon and Incheon United in?

Over the last 5 games Gangwon have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Incheon United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gangwon vs Incheon United?

The statistical background for Gangwon vs Incheon United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.