Gasogi United vs Mukura: match statistics
Mukura appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. Gasogi United show very poor home form with just 22% wins at home and as many as 56% losses, and in their last five matches, they have averaged only 0.8 points per game. Mukura, on the other hand, demonstrate stability with 30% away wins, 40% draws, and a better conversion rate (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 6%). Moreover, the visitors are in significantly better form in their last five matches (1.6 PPG) and they fail to score less frequently (20% FTS compared to the hosts' 56%). The goal difference of both teams also favors Mukura (-2 away compared to Gasogi's -9 at home). Taking all statistics into account, I expect an away win or possibly a draw, with a Mukura victory being the most likely outcome.
Gasogi United vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gasogi United played Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gasogi United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mukura: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gasogi United scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Mukura scores 1.00 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gasogi United 32%, Mukura 47%. Over 2.5: Gasogi United 32%, Mukura 21%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Gasogi United has higher xG: 1.05 vs 1.03. Gasogi United: 5.3 shots per match, Mukura: 5.7.
Match halves
Gasogi United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.32. Mukura: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Gasogi United: 31-45+ (5 goals). Mukura: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mukura appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. Gasogi United show very poor home form with just 22% wins at home and as many as 56% losses, and in their last five matches, they have averaged only 0.8 points per game. Mukura, on the other hand, demonstrate stability with 30% away wins, 40% draws, and a better conversion rate (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 6%). Moreover, the visitors are in significantly better form in their last five matches (1.6 PPG) and they fail to score less frequently (20% FTS compared to the hosts' 56%). The goal difference of both teams also favors Mukura (-2 away compared to Gasogi's -9 at home). Taking all statistics into account, I expect an away win or possibly a draw, with a Mukura victory being the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gasogi United | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mukura is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gasogi United · 1.6 pts / match - Mukura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mukura is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Gasogi United · 1 goals / match - Mukura
Mukura is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Gasogi United · 0.89 goals / match - Mukura
Gasogi United scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Mukura scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gasogi United
Over / Under - Mukura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gasogi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mukura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gasogi United
Mukura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gasogi United | Liga | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MukuraGoalPatrick Mutsinzi
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gasogi United 1 - 0 - 0 Mukura. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gasogi United vs Mukura?
The National Soccer League match finished Gasogi United 1:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gasogi United vs Mukura?
Gasogi United score 0.79 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Gasogi United's matches and 47% of Mukura's.
What form are Gasogi United and Mukura in?
Over the last 5 games Gasogi United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mukura 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gasogi United vs Mukura?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gasogi United vs Mukura: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.