Gateshead vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gateshead play Carlisle United in National League (England). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Gateshead: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gateshead scores 1.17 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gateshead 52%, Carlisle United 51%. Over 2.5: Gateshead 65%, Carlisle United 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.36. Gateshead: 9.9 shots per match, Carlisle United: 14.1.

Match halves

Gateshead: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57. Carlisle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.98.

Goals by minute

Gateshead: 0-15 (11 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
GatesheadCarlisle United
8Shots12
GatesheadCarlisle United
1Shots on target6
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.99xG1.62
GatesheadCarlisle United
4Corners7
GatesheadCarlisle United
57Dangerous attacks60
GatesheadCarlisle United
10Fouls8
GatesheadCarlisle United
1Cards0
GatesheadCarlisle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GatesheadCarlisle United
1.17Goals scored / match1.87
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.96Goals conceded / match1.13
GatesheadCarlisle United
51%Average possession49%
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.37Shots on target / match5.74
GatesheadCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.93Shots per match14.13
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.37Shots on target5.74
GatesheadCarlisle United
11.8%Shot conversion13.3%
GatesheadCarlisle United
51%Possession49%
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.36xG for1.77
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.89xG against1.43
GatesheadCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Gateshead: BalancedCarlisle United: Attacking
GatesheadCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carlisle United is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Gateshead · 2 pts / match - Carlisle United

Gateshead
DWWLL
Season result split
30% W17% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-24
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-13
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Carlisle United
DWWWL
Season result split
62% W17% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
29-8-10
2.02 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
14-3-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Gateshead · 1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United

Carlisle United is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.96 goals / match - Gateshead · 1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United

Gateshead scoring profile: strong

Gateshead scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

54Goals scored (season)88
GatesheadCarlisle United
90Goals conceded (season)53
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.13Average goals in match3
GatesheadCarlisle United
4Goals scored (last 5)10
GatesheadCarlisle United
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
GatesheadCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal87%
GatesheadCarlisle United
35%2 goals57%
GatesheadCarlisle United
11%3 goals30%
GatesheadCarlisle United
7%4 goals6%
GatesheadCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal62%
GatesheadCarlisle United
61%2 goals34%
GatesheadCarlisle United
37%3 goals13%
GatesheadCarlisle United
11%4 goals2%
GatesheadCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time21%
GatesheadCarlisle United
11%BTTS in both halves6%
GatesheadCarlisle United
24%Scored in both halves28%
GatesheadCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
GatesheadCarlisle United
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
GatesheadCarlisle United
20%BTTS - last 540%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
GatesheadCarlisle United
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
GatesheadCarlisle United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
GatesheadCarlisle United

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
GatesheadCarlisle United
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
GatesheadCarlisle United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Gateshead · 1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United

Gateshead - half-time state
24% leading28% draw48% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
40% leading34% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.55
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.89
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.02Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.43
GatesheadCarlisle United
35%Clean sheet before half-time60%
GatesheadCarlisle United
52%No goal before half-time45%
GatesheadCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.74
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.98
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.57
GatesheadCarlisle United
35%Clean sheet after half-time55%
GatesheadCarlisle United
61%No goal after half-time40%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Gateshead - second-half results

26% W26% R48% P
46
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
-19
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carlisle United - second-half results

49% W28% R23% P
73
Half-time points
42
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
82
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gateshead - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gateshead
ScoredConceded
11
15
0-15
8
17
16-30
9
15
31-45
10
9
46-60
9
12
61-75
7
22
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
12
5
0-15
16
4
16-30
14
16
31-45
13
8
46-60
14
6
61-75
19
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gateshead

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

GatesheadLigaCarlisle United
Average goals in match 3.132.92 3.00
Both teams scored 52%56% 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%57% 62%
Clean sheets 15%24% 38%
Goal before half-time 87%71% 74%
Goal after half-time 83%80% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gateshead 0 - 1 - 0 Carlisle United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

The National League match finished Gateshead 0:3 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

Gateshead score 1.17 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.87. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Gateshead's matches and 51% of Carlisle United's.

What form are Gateshead and Carlisle United in?

Over the last 5 games Gateshead have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

The statistical background for Gateshead vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.