Gateshead vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gateshead played Carlisle United in National League (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Gateshead: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Carlisle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gateshead scores 1.27 and concedes 2.41 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.74 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gateshead 55%, Carlisle United 52%. Over 2.5: Gateshead 77%, Carlisle United 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.45. Gateshead: 10.8 shots per match, Carlisle United: 16.1.

Match halves

Gateshead: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.59. Carlisle United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Gateshead: 0-15 (7 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
GatesheadCarlisle United
8Shots12
GatesheadCarlisle United
1Shots on target6
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.99xG1.62
GatesheadCarlisle United
4Corners7
GatesheadCarlisle United
57Dangerous attacks60
GatesheadCarlisle United
10Fouls8
GatesheadCarlisle United
1Cards0
GatesheadCarlisle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GatesheadCarlisle United
1.27Goals scored / match1.74
GatesheadCarlisle United
2.41Goals conceded / match1.17
GatesheadCarlisle United
51%Average possession52%
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.73Shots on target / match6.39
GatesheadCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.82Shots per match16.09
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.73Shots on target6.39
GatesheadCarlisle United
11.8%Shot conversion10.8%
GatesheadCarlisle United
51%Possession52%
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.45xG for1.97
GatesheadCarlisle United
2.11xG against1.42
GatesheadCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Gateshead: BalancedCarlisle United: Attacking
GatesheadCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gateshead
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W18% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-13
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-8
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Carlisle United
DWWLL
Season result split
61% W17% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-5
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.27 goals / match - Gateshead · 1.74 goals / match - Carlisle United

Carlisle United is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.41 goals / match - Gateshead · 1.17 goals / match - Carlisle United

Gateshead scoring profile: mixed

Gateshead scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).

28Goals scored (season)40
GatesheadCarlisle United
53Goals conceded (season)27
GatesheadCarlisle United
3.68Average goals in match2.91
GatesheadCarlisle United
4Goals scored (last 5)6
GatesheadCarlisle United
15Goals conceded (last 5)8
GatesheadCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal87%
GatesheadCarlisle United
41%2 goals52%
GatesheadCarlisle United
14%3 goals22%
GatesheadCarlisle United
9%4 goals9%
GatesheadCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal65%
GatesheadCarlisle United
77%2 goals30%
GatesheadCarlisle United
50%3 goals13%
GatesheadCarlisle United
18%4 goals4%
GatesheadCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time22%
GatesheadCarlisle United
18%BTTS in both halves4%
GatesheadCarlisle United
23%Scored in both halves26%
GatesheadCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
GatesheadCarlisle United
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
GatesheadCarlisle United
60%BTTS - last 580%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
GatesheadCarlisle United
73%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
GatesheadCarlisle United
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
GatesheadCarlisle United

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
GatesheadCarlisle United
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
GatesheadCarlisle United
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Gateshead · 1.52 pts / match - Carlisle United

Gateshead - half-time state
18% leading32% draw50% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.52
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.7
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.95Average goals (1st half)1.3
GatesheadCarlisle United
27%Clean sheet before half-time57%
GatesheadCarlisle United
55%No goal before half-time52%
GatesheadCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.87
GatesheadCarlisle United
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
GatesheadCarlisle United
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.61
GatesheadCarlisle United
27%Clean sheet after half-time57%
GatesheadCarlisle United
64%No goal after half-time35%
GatesheadCarlisle United

Gateshead - second-half results

18% W27% D55% L
19
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carlisle United - second-half results

52% W30% D17% L
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gateshead - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gateshead
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
5
9
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
9
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
2
9
31-45
8
6
46-60
5
1
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gateshead

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
191%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

GatesheadLigaCarlisle United
Average goals in match 3.682.81 2.91
Both teams scored 55%54% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 77%53% 52%
Clean sheets 9%26% 35%
Goal before half-time 86%70% 70%
Goal after half-time 86%81% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GatesheadSubstitutionOn: Kyle HurstOff: Harrison James Chapman
  2. Carlisle UnitedGoalElliot Embleton
  3. GatesheadYellow cardKain Adom
  4. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Luke Thomas ArmstrongOff: Jordan Jones
  5. Carlisle UnitedGoalRegan Linney
  6. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Callum Tyler WhelanOff: Elliot Embleton
  7. Carlisle UnitedSubstitutionOn: Bevis MugabiOff: Jack Ellis
  8. Carlisle UnitedGoalLuke Thomas Armstrong

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Richard AspinallMatches officiated: 9
3.22Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins22%Draws33%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

The National League match finished Gateshead 0:3 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

Gateshead score 1.27 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.74. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Gateshead's matches and 52% of Carlisle United's.

What form are Gateshead and Carlisle United in?

Over the last 5 games Gateshead have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Carlisle United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gateshead vs Carlisle United?

The statistical background for Gateshead vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.