Gateshead vs Woking: match statistics

Woking have a clearly superior record over their last five matches: they have collected 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while Gateshead have managed 4 points. During this period, the visitors scored 8 goals, averaging 1.6 per match, compared with Gateshead’s 4, while conceding only 5 goals to their opponents’ 9. Both teams began the current campaign with defeats, but Woking lost 0:3, whereas Gateshead were beaten 1:2, meaning the visitors’ advantage is primarily based on the broader form trend. The hosts’ defence has recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, which, combined with Woking’s more effective attack, increases the visitors’ chances of securing all three points. The lack of home and away data raises the risk of a draw, but the figures from the last five appearances favour Woking.

Gateshead have averaged just 0.8 goals scored across their last 5 matches, while Woking come into this fixture with a low BTTS rate of 20%, increasing the risk that one side will fail to score. The hosts conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, with an xG against them of 1.66, whereas Woking averaged 1.36 xG and scored 1.6 goals, giving the visitors a realistic chance of finding the net. However, Gateshead’s attack remains the key obstacle to BTTS: their xG over the last five matches is just 0.99, and the team has failed to score in the entire available season dataset. Woking conceded only 1.0 goal per match in their last five appearances, making the outcome in which at least one team fails to score more likely. Therefore, the recommended market is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Gateshead’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game. Over the same period, Woking scored 1.6 goals while conceding just 1.0, although their average xG stands at 1.36, while Gateshead allows opponents 1.66 xG. The forecast is lower for the hosts: their 0.99 xG from the last five matches compared with Woking’s 1.24 xG conceded results in approximately 1.12 expected goals. The total forecast of 2.62 goals suggests that the 2.5 line is finely balanced, while four goals would require a scenario significantly above the norm. Therefore, the best choice is Under 3.5, also supported by the fact that exactly 3 goals were scored in Gateshead’s available home match, with no more than that.

Full-season data is very limited, so greater weight is placed on the last five matches, in which Woking averaged 1.6 goals, compared with just 0.8 for Gateshead. The visitors won 40% of those games and averaged 1.4 points, while the hosts won only 20% of the time, averaging 0.8 points. Before the break, Woking were leading in 40% of their recent matches and conceded just 0.4 goals, whereas Gateshead were trailing at half-time in 60% of their games, conceding an average of 0.8 goals. After the interval, the visitors' advantage remains evident: they score an average of 1.0 goal compared with Gateshead's 0.2, while the hosts have not won a single second half in this sample. The most likely outcome is therefore Woking leading at the break and maintaining their winning result through to full-time, although the small sample size reduces confidence in the prediction.