Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics
Gaziantep FK clearly outperforms Fatih Karagümrük in terms of home form and overall performance. The hosts boast a significantly better home record (33% win rate) compared to Karagümrük's mere 8% away wins, with the visitors losing a staggering 83% of their matches on the road. A key factor is the hosts' average xG of 1.64 versus the visitors' mere 1.21, indicating Gaziantep's superior offensive efficiency. Fatih Karagümrük has failed to keep a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.17 goals per match, which, coupled with Gaziantep's average ball possession of 56%, gives the hosts a genuine opportunity to exploit their rival's defensive frailties. The form of both teams in the last five matches is average; however, the home advantage and better attacking statistics point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both sides' unpredictability.
Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gaziantep FK played Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gaziantep FK: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fatih Karagümrük: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gaziantep FK scores 1.25 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.88 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gaziantep FK 58%, Fatih Karagümrük 50%. Over 2.5: Gaziantep FK 67%, Fatih Karagümrük 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Gaziantep FK has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.17. Gaziantep FK: 13.0 shots per match, Fatih Karagümrük: 10.9.
Match halves
Gaziantep FK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.54. Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Gaziantep FK: 61-75 (9 goals). Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gaziantep FK clearly outperforms Fatih Karagümrük in terms of home form and overall performance. The hosts boast a significantly better home record (33% win rate) compared to Karagümrük's mere 8% away wins, with the visitors losing a staggering 83% of their matches on the road. A key factor is the hosts' average xG of 1.64 versus the visitors' mere 1.21, indicating Gaziantep's superior offensive efficiency. Fatih Karagümrük has failed to keep a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.17 goals per match, which, coupled with Gaziantep's average ball possession of 56%, gives the hosts a genuine opportunity to exploit their rival's defensive frailties. The form of both teams in the last five matches is average; however, the home advantage and better attacking statistics point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both sides' unpredictability.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gaziantep FK | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gaziantep FK is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Gaziantep FK · 0.88 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Gaziantep FK · 1.88 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Gaziantep FK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gaziantep FK
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gaziantep FK is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Gaziantep FK · 0.88 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gaziantep FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gaziantep FK
Fatih Karagümrük
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Gaziantep FK | Liga | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gaziantep FK 1 - 0 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The Süper Lig match finished Gaziantep FK 1:1 Fatih Karagümrük. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Gaziantep FK score 1.25 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 0.88. The Süper Lig average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gaziantep FK's matches and 50% of Fatih Karagümrük's.
What form are Gaziantep FK and Fatih Karagümrük in?
Over the last 5 games Gaziantep FK have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The statistical background for Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


