GD Estoril Praia vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

GD Estoril Praia play Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 21:30. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

GD Estoril Praia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Alverca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

GD Estoril Praia scores 1.59 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.03 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: GD Estoril Praia 59%, Alverca 56%. Over 2.5: GD Estoril Praia 62%, Alverca 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.14. GD Estoril Praia: 11.7 shots per match, Alverca: 9.7.

Match halves

GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Alverca: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (12 goals). Alverca: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
9Shots11
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
4Shots on target7
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.29xG1.44
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
3Corners7
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
60Dangerous attacks35
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
12Fouls11
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
2Cards3
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.59Goals scored / match1.03
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.68Goals conceded / match1.53
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
53%Average possession45%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
4.06Shots on target / match3.5
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.68Shots per match9.65
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
4.06Shots on target3.5
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
13.6%Shot conversion10.7%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
53%Possession45%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.34xG for1.14
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.38xG against1.56
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

Shooting quality

GD Estoril Praia: Efficient finishingAlverca: Balanced
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Alverca is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 0.8 pts / match - Alverca

GD Estoril Praia
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W26% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-15
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Alverca
LWLDL
Season result split
29% W26% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-15
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

GD Estoril Praia is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.03 goals / match - Alverca

Alverca is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.53 goals / match - Alverca

GD Estoril Praia scoring profile: very strong

GD Estoril Praia scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Alverca scoring profile: very strong

Alverca scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).

54Goals scored (season)35
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
57Goals conceded (season)52
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
3.26Average goals in match2.56
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
3Goals scored (last 5)3
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
41%2 goals26%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
26%3 goals6%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
18%4 goals0%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal82%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
50%2 goals38%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
29%3 goals18%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
3%4 goals12%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
GD Estoril Praia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 34 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time15%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
9%BTTS in both halves0%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
35%Scored in both halves9%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
60%BTTS - last 540%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

GD Estoril Praia - half-time state
29% leading29% draw41% trailing
Alverca - half-time state
24% leading44% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.15
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.41
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.68Average goals (1st half)1.12
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
41%Clean sheet before half-time53%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
44%No goal before half-time65%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.09
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.44
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
47%Clean sheet after half-time35%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca
50%No goal after half-time56%
GD Estoril PraiaAlverca

GD Estoril Praia - second-half results

32% W32% R35% P
40
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Alverca - second-half results

29% W21% R50% P
39
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

GD Estoril Praia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-6+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Alverca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

GD Estoril Praia
ScoredConceded
6
15
0-15
8
7
16-30
12
9
31-45
11
8
46-60
8
10
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Alverca
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
3
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
9
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

GD Estoril Praia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Alverca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

GD Estoril PraiaLigaAlverca
Average goals in match 3.262.68 2.56
Both teams scored 59%48% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%54% 50%
Clean sheets 15%29% 18%
Goal before half-time 88%69% 68%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: GD Estoril Praia 0 - 1 - 0 Alverca. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of GD Estoril Praia vs Alverca?

The Liga NOS match finished GD Estoril Praia 4:1 Alverca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before GD Estoril Praia vs Alverca?

GD Estoril Praia score 1.59 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.03. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of GD Estoril Praia's matches and 56% of Alverca's.

What form are GD Estoril Praia and Alverca in?

Over the last 5 games GD Estoril Praia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Alverca 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Estoril Praia vs Alverca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for GD Estoril Praia vs Alverca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.