GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia: match statistics
GD Estoril Praia presents significantly better home form with 50% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.17 goals per match in home games, which, with a conversion rate of 17% and an average of 5 shots on target, shows their offensive efficiency. Casa Pia records poor away results with just 25% victories and a negative goal difference of -12, scoring an average of only 0.83 goals on the road with a high FTS% rate of 50%. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.00), and the advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) confirms their dominance. Although the recent form of both teams is similar, the home advantage and clearly better offensive statistics of Estoril Praia speak for their victory, though Casa Pia may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
GD Estoril Praia played Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
GD Estoril Praia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Casa Pia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
GD Estoril Praia scores 1.92 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Casa Pia scores 1.08 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: GD Estoril Praia 58%, Casa Pia 50%. Over 2.5: GD Estoril Praia 71%, Casa Pia 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.43 vs 0.96. GD Estoril Praia: 12.2 shots per match, Casa Pia: 8.4.
Match halves
GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Casa Pia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (11 goals). Casa Pia: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Estoril Praia presents significantly better home form with 50% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.17 goals per match in home games, which, with a conversion rate of 17% and an average of 5 shots on target, shows their offensive efficiency. Casa Pia records poor away results with just 25% victories and a negative goal difference of -12, scoring an average of only 0.83 goals on the road with a high FTS% rate of 50%. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.00), and the advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) confirms their dominance. Although the recent form of both teams is similar, the home advantage and clearly better offensive statistics of Estoril Praia speak for their victory, though Casa Pia may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| GD Estoril Praia | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casa Pia is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.6 pts / match - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.08 goals / match - Casa Pia
GD Estoril Praia is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.83 goals / match - Casa Pia
GD Estoril Praia scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Casa Pia scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Estoril Praia
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Estoril Praia is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.17 pts / match - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
GD Estoril Praia
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| GD Estoril Praia | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: GD Estoril Praia 0 - 1 - 0 Casa Pia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished GD Estoril Praia 0:0 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia?
GD Estoril Praia score 1.92 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.08. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of GD Estoril Praia's matches and 50% of Casa Pia's.
What form are GD Estoril Praia and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games GD Estoril Praia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Casa Pia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia?
The statistical background for GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.