GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
GD Estoril Praia displays solid home form with 44% of home matches won and an impressive average of 1.89 goals per game. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals, which indicates good offensive disposition. Vitória Guimarães faces serious problems on the road – as many as 63% of matches end without scoring a goal, and the average of just 0.5 goals per away match is alarmingly low. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -5, with 50% of matches lost. Estoril holds a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches and significantly better shot conversion (16%). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and Vitória's poor away form, I expect a victory for GD Estoril Praia.
GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
GD Estoril Praia played Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
GD Estoril Praia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Vitória Guimarães: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
GD Estoril Praia scores 1.83 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.00 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: GD Estoril Praia 56%, Vitória Guimarães 33%. Over 2.5: GD Estoril Praia 61%, Vitória Guimarães 39%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.41. GD Estoril Praia: 12.3 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães: 13.2.
Match halves
GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.94. Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (9 goals). Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Estoril Praia displays solid home form with 44% of home matches won and an impressive average of 1.89 goals per game. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings, scoring 11 goals, which indicates good offensive disposition. Vitória Guimarães faces serious problems on the road – as many as 63% of matches end without scoring a goal, and the average of just 0.5 goals per away match is alarmingly low. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -5, with 50% of matches lost. Estoril holds a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches and significantly better shot conversion (16%). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and Vitória's poor away form, I expect a victory for GD Estoril Praia.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| GD Estoril Praia | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
GD Estoril Praia is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.28 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
GD Estoril Praia scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Estoril Praia
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Estoril Praia is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia · 1.06 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
GD Estoril Praia
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| GD Estoril Praia | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0 - 1 Vitória Guimarães. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished GD Estoril Praia 4:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
GD Estoril Praia score 1.83 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of GD Estoril Praia's matches and 33% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are GD Estoril Praia and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games GD Estoril Praia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for GD Estoril Praia vs Vitória Guimarães: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.