Gedania Gdańsk vs Wda Świecie: match statistics

Gedania Gdańsk are in significantly better form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, scoring 18 goals, while Wda Świecie have lost 3 of their last 5 games and conceded as many as 20 goals in the process. At home, the hosts average 5 goals and 6 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors score just 1 goal away from home, registering 4 shots on target. The difference in the quality of chances created is also reflected in the average xG: 1.60 for Gedania compared with 0.99 for Wda. However, the hosts’ defence is not entirely reliable, as they allow opponents an xG of 2.52 at home and concede an average of 3 goals, giving the visitors a chance to score. Nevertheless, Gedania’s very high conversion rate of 36%, compared with Wda’s 13%, strongly favours a home win.

The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have recorded this outcome in 100% of their matches this season and neither has kept a clean sheet. Gedania average 2.0 goals at home, while Wda score an average of 1.0, with both teams conceding 1.0 goal per match. Their form over the last five matches also supports goals at both ends: Gedania scored an average of 3.6 goals, while Wda, despite their weaker results, managed 1.2 goals and conceded as many as 4.0. Wda have recorded BTTS in 100% of their last five matches, while Gedania’s rate stands at 60%, which still confirms their ability to engage in a goal exchange. Additionally, the average xG over the last five matches is 1.96 for Gedania and 1.28 for Wda, so an away goal alongside a high probability of the hosts scoring is the most likely scenario.

Gedania have scored an average of 3.6 goals in their last five matches, while Wda have conceded as many as 4.0 goals per game over the same period, clearly strengthening the home side’s attacking potential. Both teams have had at least 2 goals in 100% of their league matches so far, with neither side keeping a clean sheet. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of the last five matches for each team, while Wda saw both teams score in 100% of those games. The quality of chances also points towards goals: Gedania’s average xG is 1.96, while Wda allow opponents 1.89 xG. The Over 1.5 goals line is the strongest choice, as even after a cautious adjustment for the teams’ high recent scores, the projected total of 3.30 goals provides a significant margin above the required two goals.

Gedania have been clearly stronger over their last five matches, averaging 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Wda have scored 1.2 goals and allowed 4.0 per game. The hosts have won 80% of their matches in this period and remain unbeaten, whereas the visitors have lost 60% and won just 20%. Before half-time, Gedania averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Wda conceded as many as 2.0 goals, supporting the prospect of the hosts taking the lead at the break. Their advantage should grow after the interval, as the hosts averaged 2.4 goals scored in the second half across their last five appearances, while Wda scored just 0.4 and conceded 2.0. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is Gedania leading at the break and securing victory by the final whistle.