General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC: match statistics
General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
General Caballero JLM played Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
General Caballero JLM: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Independiente FBC: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
General Caballero JLM scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Independiente FBC scores 1.25 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: General Caballero JLM 50%, Independiente FBC 25%. Over 2.5: General Caballero JLM 50%, Independiente FBC 25%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
General Caballero JLM has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.30. General Caballero JLM: 14.0 shots per match, Independiente FBC: 11.0.
Match halves
General Caballero JLM: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Independiente FBC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
General Caballero JLM: 0-15 (3 goals). Independiente FBC: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
General Caballero JLM has a clear offensive advantage: they have scored 10 goals this season versus Independiente FBC's 5, and in the last 5 matches the home side also scored 10 goals while the visitors scored 5. At home General Caballero averages 4.0 goals per match, produces 16 shots of which 7.5 are on target, has xG 1.77 and a shot conversion rate of 25%, whereas Independiente away averages 1.0 goal, 8.5 shots with 1.0 on target, xG 0.98 and a conversion rate of 12%. Defensively the hosts concede 1.5 goals at home with xG against 0.98, while the visitors concede 1.0 goals away with xG against 1.04, which suggests the visitors’ defense is marginally more stable in xG terms but does not offset the hosts’ substantial superiority in quantity and quality of chances. Additionally General Caballero have won all their home matches (100% home wins) and average 2.0 points in the last 5 games, while Independiente away record 100% draws and fail to score in 50% of their away trips, increasing the likelihood of a home victory. Considering this and the differences in shots on target (7.5 vs 1.0), average goals (4.0 vs 1.0) and xG (1.77 vs 0.98), I forecast a home win and estimate probabilities of 70% for 1, 20% for X and 10% for 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
General Caballero JLM has 100% clean sheets at home and concedes on average 0.0 goals at their stadium, while Independiente FBC concedes on average 1.0 goals away and has a seasonal BTTS rate of 50%. The hosts generate higher xG and more shots on target: hosts xG 1.62 vs guests 0.98, and average shots on target 6.0 vs 1.0. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 and conceded 5 (avg 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded), while the guests scored 5 and conceded 2 (avg 1.0 and 0.4), indicating the hosts' offensive advantage and the guests' limited effectiveness. Considering the hosts' 0% BTTS this season, the superiority in xG/shots on target and the league average BTTS of 41%, the stronger signal points to a No Goal scenario, therefore I propose BTTS - No with a probability of 75%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for General Caballero JLM (avg xG 1.62 vs xG conceded to Independiente 1.04) and 1.03 for Independiente FBC (xG 0.98 vs xG conceded to General Caballero 1.08), totaling 2.36 goals. With combined λ=2.36 the Poisson distribution implies probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈68%, Over 2.5 ≈42% and Over 3.5 ≈21%. Additionally, General Caballero at home records 100% clean sheets and 0% BTTS, and the season percentage of home matches with over 2.5 goals is 0%, which supports a low total-goals projection. The attack quality and chance creation gap is also evident in 6.0 on-target shots average for the home side versus just 1.0 for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches: home 10 goals (2.0 avg), away 5 goals (1.0 avg). Consequently, the strongest signal from the data is under 3.5 (≈79% chance) as the safer selection; alternatively Over 1.5 (≈68%) is a more aggressive pick but carries lower probability than under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts are the clear favorites — they have a 100% win rate this season and average 3.0 points per match, while Independiente has a 0% win rate and averages 1.0 point per match, so the hosts’ advantage over 90 minutes is significant. Both teams have ended the first half level in 100% of their matches, which strongly increases the probability of a draw at half-time. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals after the break and have 100% of matches with at least one goal in the second half, and their xG is 1.62 versus the visitors’ 0.98, suggesting they will turn the game around after half-time. Additionally, the hosts average 6.0 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 1.0, so the scenario of a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1) is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| General Caballero JLM | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
General Caballero JLM is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - General Caballero JLM · 2 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
General Caballero JLM is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - General Caballero JLM · 1.25 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - General Caballero JLM · 0.5 goals / match - Independiente FBC
General Caballero JLM scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Independiente FBC scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while General Caballero JLM keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - General Caballero JLM
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
General Caballero JLM is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - General Caballero JLM · 1 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
General Caballero JLM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
General Caballero JLM
Independiente FBC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| General Caballero JLM | Liga | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.36 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC?
The Division Intermedia match finished General Caballero JLM 4:2 Independiente FBC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC?
General Caballero JLM score 2.50 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.25. The Division Intermedia average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 50% of General Caballero JLM's matches and 25% of Independiente FBC's.
What form are General Caballero JLM and Independiente FBC in?
Over the last 5 games General Caballero JLM have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Independiente FBC 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for General Caballero JLM vs Independiente FBC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.