General Caballero JLM vs Tacuary: match statistics

General Caballero JLM sit 2nd, while Tacuary are 14th, and the quality gap is further underlined by their season records: 11 home wins compared with just 3 victories for the visitors. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded only 3 goals during that run, whereas Tacuary have recorded 1 win, drawn three times and scored 5 goals in the same period. At home, General Caballero JLM win 78% of their matches, score an average of 2.56 goals and register 7.11 shots on target per game, compared with Tacuary’s 1.22 goals and 3.22 shots on target away from home. The hosts also create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.71 versus 1.09 for their opponents, while the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. Tacuary draw as many as 56% of their away matches, so they may keep the margin of defeat under control, but the clear advantage in form, attacking output and home advantage points strongly towards a General Caballero JLM win.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the seasonal profile of both teams: General Caballero have recorded this outcome in 56% of their matches, while Tacuary have done so in as many as 67%, compared with the league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 1.22 goals, while Tacuary concede 1.67 per match, which clearly increases the home side’s chances of finding the net. The visitors have lower attacking potential, averaging 1.22 goals with an xG of 1.09, but General Caballero’s defence allows an average of 1.33 goals and opposition xG of 1.44. The hosts’ recent form has been defensively stronger, as they conceded only 3 goals in their last five matches and BTTS landed in 40% of cases. Therefore, the advantage for the “Yes” scenario is moderate rather than decisive. Nevertheless, Tacuary have scored in an average of one of their last five matches, while their BTTS rate over that period stands at 60%, making both teams to score the most probable outcome.

General Caballero averages 1.22 goals per match, improving to 1.60 across their last five games, while Tacuary conceded just 1.20 goals per match over the same period. The home side have been highly consistent defensively of late, conceding only 3 goals in total across five matches, or 0.60 per game. The combined xG averages of both teams point to approximately 2.44 goals, suggesting a scoreline in the two- or three-goal range rather than an open, high-scoring game with four goals. The Under 3.5 goals line is further supported by General Caballero’s data, with 67% of their matches ending with a maximum of three goals, while neither team averages even 1.3 goals per match. Therefore, Under 3.5 is the strongest pick, although the 2.5 line remains finely balanced.

General Caballero JLM are in clearly better form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Tacuary have recorded only a 20% win rate. The hosts held a lead at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.2; over the same period, the visitors conceded an average of 0.6 goals in the first half. Tacuary often go into the interval level, as occurred in 60% of their recent matches, but their full-season away figures show an average of only 1.22 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. General Caballero’s advantage is also reflected in their xG, standing at 1.35 compared with the opponents’ 1.09, as well as in their average of 3.89 shots on target per match versus 3.22. The most likely scenario is therefore that the hosts will take the lead before half-time and maintain it until the final whistle, corresponding to an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.