Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah: match statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ghazl El Mehalla play El Gounah in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match date is 8 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ghazl El Mehalla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. El Gounah: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.82 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. El Gounah scores 0.79 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ghazl El Mehalla 39%, El Gounah 42%. Over 2.5: Ghazl El Mehalla 24%, El Gounah 18%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
El Gounah has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.11. Ghazl El Mehalla: 8.8 shots per match, El Gounah: 9.7.
Match halves
Ghazl El Mehalla: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.45. El Gounah: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Ghazl El Mehalla: 76-90+ (8 goals). El Gounah: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw: Ghazl El Mehalla has an exceptionally high home draw rate — 82% of home matches end in a split of points, with only 9% wins and 9% losses. El Gounah shows superior offensive metrics: on average 0.91 goals away versus 0.36 for the home side, higher xG 1.13 vs 1.03 and more shots (9.64 vs 8.45) and shots on target (3.64 vs 2.0). Conversely, Ghazl is hard to break down at home — only 0.45 conceded goals per match and 73% clean sheets, but the hosts fail to score in 64% of home games, which favors low-scoring outcomes. In the last 5 matches Ghazl has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses with 3 goals scored, while El Gounah has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with 3 goals and a higher points-per-game in the last 5 (1.2 vs 0.6), giving the visitors a moderate edge. Considering the 82% home draw rate, Ghazl’s low finishing efficiency (0.36 goals and 64% of matches without scoring) and El Gounah’s advantage in xG and shots, I assign probabilities: draw 55%, away win 30%, home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ghazl El Mehalla | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Gounah is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla · 0.73 goals / match - El Gounah
Ghazl El Mehalla scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
El Gounah scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Ghazl El Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 55% (18 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ghazl El Mehalla
Over / Under — El Gounah
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ghazl El Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gounah
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ghazl El Mehalla | Liga | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.61 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 35% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla 0 - 1 - 0 El Gounah. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Ghazl El Mehalla 1:0 El Gounah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 0.82 goals per game on average and El Gounah 0.79. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Ghazl El Mehalla's matches and 42% of El Gounah's.
What form are Ghazl El Mehalla and El Gounah in?
Over the last 5 games Ghazl El Mehalla have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and El Gounah 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.