Giana Erminio vs Inter II: match statistics
Giana Erminio vs Inter II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Giana Erminio played Inter II in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Giana Erminio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Inter II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Giana Erminio scores 0.94 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Inter II scores 1.11 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Giana Erminio 42%, Inter II 56%. Over 2.5: Giana Erminio 33%, Inter II 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Inter II has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.37. Giana Erminio: 9.9 shots per match, Inter II: 12.4.
Match halves
Giana Erminio: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58. Inter II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (10 goals). Inter II: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an Inter II win: the visitors have scored 40 goals this season versus the hosts' 34, averaging 1.44 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 14%, while Giana at home only averages 0.94 goals per game with a 10% conversion. The visitors win 50% of their away matches, whereas the hosts win 39% of home games, and the goal difference is +5 for Inter II away compared to -4 for the hosts. Giana produces a slightly higher home xG (1.43) than Inter II away (1.36), but this does not translate into goals — the hosts fail to score in 33% of home matches, while Inter II fail to score in only 11% of away fixtures. Both teams concede on average 1.17 goals per game, however the visitors' higher average of shots on target (4.06 vs 3.89) and superior conversion favor Inter II, so I give them about a 55% chance to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS comes from Inter II: season-long share of matches with both teams scoring is 67%, and in the last 5 matches it is 60%, indicating Inter frequently scores and concedes. Giana Erminio averages only 0.78 goals per game this season, but their xG_for is 1.68 (higher than the visitors' xG 1.36), meaning they create chances they fail to convert due to a low conversion rate of 5.0%. Clean sheets are rare: the home side has 28% of matches without conceding, and the visitors 22%, so in 72% and 78% of matches respectively they concede at least one goal. Additionally, in the last 5 games both teams scored and conceded on average 1.2 goals (6 scored and 6 conceded), which confirms a tendency for goal exchange; therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 65% versus 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG and defensive metrics indicate combined offensive pressure: home xG 1.68, away xG 1.36, and xG against 1.26 for Giana and 1.49 for Inter, yielding expected goals of 1.59 for Giana Erminio and 1.31 for Inter II (total 2.90). This 2.90 expected goals exceeds the league average of 2.32, and Inter II shows high shot conversion of 14% versus the home side's 5% and averages 4.06 shots on target per match, increasing the likelihood of goals. Seasonal indicators confirm the trend: Over 1.5 occurred in 50% of Giana’s matches and 89% of Inter’s matches, while both-teams-to-score rates are 44% and 67% respectively. A Poisson model with a 2.90 total estimates over 1.5 ≈79% and over 2.5 ≈55%, whereas over 3.5 is less likely (~33%). Based on this, the best selection is Over 1.5 (back the over at 1.5): high expected total goals, low clean sheet rates (28% and 22%), and Inter’s strong efficiency support at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a lead at the break and a Full-Time win for Inter II: Inter II led at half-time in 50% of matches, versus Giana Erminio in only 22%, while Inter’s overall win rate is 50% compared to the hosts’ 17%. At half-time Inter II average 0.89 goals vs the hosts’ 0.39, and over the full match Inter score 1.44 goals against Giana’s 0.78, indicating an advantage for the visitors in both the first and second halves. Although the hosts’ xG is 1.68 versus 1.36 for the visitors, the hosts have a very low conversion rate of 5% compared to Inter’s 14% and a lower number of shots on target (3.78 vs 4.06), so the hosts’ xG advantage does not translate into goals. On this basis I assign a 27% probability to the 2/2 scenario, 18% to the Half-Time draw / Full-Time Inter win scenario (X/2), and 9% each to the scenarios where Inter lead at the break but draw (2/X) or lose (2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Giana Erminio | Inter II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Giana Erminio is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Giana Erminio · 1.2 pts / match - Inter II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter II is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Giana Erminio · 1.11 goals / match - Inter II
Giana Erminio scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Inter II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Inter II scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Giana Erminio
Over / Under - Inter II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter II is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Giana Erminio · 1.44 pts / match - Inter II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Giana Erminio
Inter II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Giana Erminio | Liga | Inter II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Giana Erminio 1 - 0 - 0 Inter II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
The Serie C Group A match finished Giana Erminio 2:0 Inter II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
Giana Erminio score 0.94 goals per game on average and Inter II 1.11. The Serie C Group A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Giana Erminio's matches and 56% of Inter II's.
What form are Giana Erminio and Inter II in?
Over the last 5 games Giana Erminio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Giana Erminio vs Inter II?
The statistical background for Giana Erminio vs Inter II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.