Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Giana Erminio shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a more favorable goal difference (-6 compared to -5), yet their last five home matches show inconsistency (lwlwdddwwllwllwl). Pergolettese has a high draw rate away from home (44%), which, combined with a similar points per game tally in their last five matches (1.4 PPG for both teams), suggests a balanced encounter. Both teams share an identical problem with failing to score (38% FTS%), and their average xG figures are very close (1.45 vs 1.29), further supporting the prediction of a draw. Taking all factors into account, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Giana Erminio play Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Giana Erminio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Pergolettese: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Giana Erminio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Pergolettese scores 0.97 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Giana Erminio 39%, Pergolettese 47%. Over 2.5: Giana Erminio 32%, Pergolettese 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Giana Erminio has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.36. Giana Erminio: 10.1 shots per match, Pergolettese: 10.6.
Match halves
Giana Erminio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.63. Pergolettese: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (11 goals). Pergolettese: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Giana Erminio shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a more favorable goal difference (-6 compared to -5), yet their last five home matches show inconsistency (lwlwdddwwllwllwl). Pergolettese has a high draw rate away from home (44%), which, combined with a similar points per game tally in their last five matches (1.4 PPG for both teams), suggests a balanced encounter. Both teams share an identical problem with failing to score (38% FTS%), and their average xG figures are very close (1.45 vs 1.29), further supporting the prediction of a draw. Taking all factors into account, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Giana Erminio | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Giana Erminio · 1.6 pts / match - Pergolettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Giana Erminio is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Giana Erminio · 1.32 goals / match - Pergolettese
Giana Erminio scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Pergolettese scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Giana Erminio
Over / Under — Pergolettese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Giana Erminio is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Giana Erminio · 1.11 pts / match - Pergolettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Giana Erminio
Pergolettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Giana Erminio | Liga | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.34 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Giana Erminio 1 - 0 - 0 Pergolettese. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese?
The Serie C Group A match finished Giana Erminio 2:0 Pergolettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese?
Giana Erminio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.97. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Giana Erminio's matches and 47% of Pergolettese's.
What form are Giana Erminio and Pergolettese in?
Over the last 5 games Giana Erminio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pergolettese 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese?
The statistical background for Giana Erminio vs Pergolettese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.