Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueGicumbi StadiumData current as of 17 October 2026

Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gicumbi play Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Gicumbi Stadium.

Current form

Gicumbi: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Al Merreikh: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gicumbi scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Al Merreikh scores 0.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 1.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gicumbi 50%, Al Merreikh 0%. Over 2.5: Gicumbi 50%, Al Merreikh 0%. League level: BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 15%.

xG, shots and style

Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.32. Gicumbi: 8.8 shots per match, Al Merreikh: 8.0.

Match halves

Gicumbi: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Al Merreikh: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Gicumbi: 16-30 (2 goals). Al Merreikh: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.48 goals per match, BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 15%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0.75Goals conceded / match0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
42%Average possession66%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
2.5Shots on target / match6
GicumbiAl Merreikh

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.75Shots per match8
GicumbiAl Merreikh
2.5Shots on target6
GicumbiAl Merreikh
14.3%Shot conversion0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
42%Possession66%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
1.32xG for1.48
GicumbiAl Merreikh
1.21xG against0.58
GicumbiAl Merreikh

Shooting quality

Gicumbi: Counter-attackingAl Merreikh: Balanced
GicumbiAl Merreikh
Accuracy (shots on target)29%75%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gicumbi is 125% better for: last-5 form.

2.25 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1 pts / match - Al Merreikh

Gicumbi
WWWL
Season result split
75% W0% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Al Merreikh
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 0.58BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gicumbi scoring profile: more difficult

Gicumbi scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

Al Merreikh scoring profile: more difficult

Al Merreikh scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

5Goals scored (season)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
3Goals conceded (season)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
2Average goals in match0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
5Goals scored (last 5)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
3Goals conceded (last 5)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
50%2 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%3 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%4 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%2 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%3 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%4 goals0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
50%Scored in both halves0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
50%BTTS - last 50%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gicumbi is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1 pts / match - Al Merreikh

Gicumbi - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Al Merreikh - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
1.5Average goals (1st half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
25%Clean sheet before half-time100%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
25%No goal before half-time100%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
0.5Average goals (2nd half)0
GicumbiAl Merreikh
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
GicumbiAl Merreikh
50%No goal after half-time100%
GicumbiAl Merreikh

Gicumbi - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Merreikh - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.252.00
Goals scored / match0.80.5
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.50.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet25%100%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 3
Al Merreikh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Merreikh
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 0.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
68%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Al Merreikh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

GicumbiLigaAl Merreikh
Average goals in match▲ 2.001.48▼ 0.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%22%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%15%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 25%48%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%59%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%52%▼ 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.48
Average goals per match
22%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
48%
Clean sheets
0.89
Home goals / match
0.59
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Gicumbi 0 - 0 - 2 Al Merreikh. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Gicumbi and Al Merreikh play?

Gicumbi face Al Merreikh on 18 October 2026 in National Soccer League at Gicumbi Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gicumbi and Al Merreikh?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gicumbi won 0, Al Merreikh won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh?

Gicumbi score 1.25 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 0.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gicumbi's matches and 0% of Al Merreikh's.

What form are Gicumbi and Al Merreikh in?

Over the last 5 games Gicumbi have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Al Merreikh 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gicumbi vs Al Merreikh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.