Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 06 September 2026

Gicumbi vs Marines: match statistics

Gicumbi vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gicumbi play Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 20 December 2025.

Current form

Gicumbi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Marines: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gicumbi scores 1.09 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Marines scores 1.17 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gicumbi 64%, Marines 25%. Over 2.5: Gicumbi 45%, Marines 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.20 vs 0.90. Gicumbi: 4.7 shots per match, Marines: 7.8.

Match halves

Gicumbi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45. Marines: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Gicumbi: 16-30 (4 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.01)
(13.20)
(64.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.09Goals scored / match1.17
GicumbiMarines
1.27Goals conceded / match0.67
GicumbiMarines
46%Average possession47%
GicumbiMarines
1.45Shots on target / match3
GicumbiMarines

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.73Shots per match7.83
GicumbiMarines
1.45Shots on target3
GicumbiMarines
23.1%Shot conversion14.9%
GicumbiMarines
46%Possession47%
GicumbiMarines
0.9xG for1.2
GicumbiMarines
1.03xG against1.1
GicumbiMarines

Shooting quality

Gicumbi: Counter-attackingMarines: Counter-attacking
GicumbiMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.750.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Marines is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1.8 pts / match - Marines

Gicumbi
LLDWL
Season result split
27% W27% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-5
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Marines
LWWLW
Season result split
58% W0% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-5
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Gicumbi · 1.17 goals / match - Marines

Marines is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.27 goals / match - Gicumbi · 0.67 goals / match - Marines

Gicumbi scoring profile: mixed

Gicumbi scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).

Marines scoring profile: very strong

Marines scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

12Goals scored (season)14
GicumbiMarines
14Goals conceded (season)8
GicumbiMarines
2.36Average goals in match1.83
GicumbiMarines
6Goals scored (last 5)6
GicumbiMarines
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
GicumbiMarines

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal75%
GicumbiMarines
36%2 goals42%
GicumbiMarines
0%3 goals0%
GicumbiMarines
0%4 goals0%
GicumbiMarines

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal50%
GicumbiMarines
36%2 goals17%
GicumbiMarines
9%3 goals0%
GicumbiMarines
0%4 goals0%
GicumbiMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time0%
GicumbiMarines
9%BTTS in both halves0%
GicumbiMarines
18%Scored in both halves17%
GicumbiMarines

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
GicumbiMarines
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GicumbiMarines
80%BTTS - last 540%
GicumbiMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
GicumbiMarines
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
GicumbiMarines
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GicumbiMarines

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
GicumbiMarines
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
GicumbiMarines
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
GicumbiMarines

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Gicumbi · 1.83 pts / match - Marines

Gicumbi - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing
Marines - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.83
GicumbiMarines
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.58
GicumbiMarines
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
GicumbiMarines
1.36Average goals (1st half)0.75
GicumbiMarines
36%Clean sheet before half-time83%
GicumbiMarines
45%No goal before half-time50%
GicumbiMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.33
GicumbiMarines
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
GicumbiMarines
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
GicumbiMarines
1Average goals (2nd half)1.08
GicumbiMarines
45%Clean sheet after half-time58%
GicumbiMarines
64%No goal after half-time58%
GicumbiMarines

Gicumbi - second-half results

18% W45% R36% P
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Marines - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Marines
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
5
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

GicumbiLigaMarines
Average goals in match 2.361.84 1.83
Both teams scored 64%39% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%27% 25%
Clean sheets 18%38% 50%
Goal before half-time 82%58% 67%
Goal after half-time 73%66% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.84
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.93
Home goals / match
0.91
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Gicumbi and Marines play?

Gicumbi face Marines on 20 December 2025 in National Soccer League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gicumbi vs Marines?

Gicumbi score 1.09 goals per game on average and Marines 1.17. The National Soccer League average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Gicumbi's matches and 25% of Marines's.

What form are Gicumbi and Marines in?

Over the last 5 games Gicumbi have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Marines 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gicumbi vs Marines?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gicumbi vs Marines: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.