Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga are in significantly better form, having won four of their last five matches without conceding a single goal in that period, which translates to 2.6 points per game. The visitors boast a higher conversion rate (14% shot conversion vs 11% for the hosts) and dominate possession (66% vs 48%). Gil Vicente, despite a solid home record (60% wins), have a weaker goal difference and lower xG values (1.69 vs 1.71 for Braga). The class difference between the teams (Braga's 4th place vs Gil Vicente's 5th place) and the visitors' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics point towards their victory. However, considering the hosts' decent performance at their own stadium, a draw cannot be ruled out, hence the relatively high probability of points being shared.
Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gil Vicente played Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gil Vicente: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sporting Braga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gil Vicente scores 1.48 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 2.10 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gil Vicente 38%, Sporting Braga 43%. Over 2.5: Gil Vicente 38%, Sporting Braga 67%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.56. Gil Vicente: 14.3 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 13.2.
Match halves
Gil Vicente: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.67. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Gil Vicente: 31-45+ (11 goals). Sporting Braga: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga are in significantly better form, having won four of their last five matches without conceding a single goal in that period, which translates to 2.6 points per game. The visitors boast a higher conversion rate (14% shot conversion vs 11% for the hosts) and dominate possession (66% vs 48%). Gil Vicente, despite a solid home record (60% wins), have a weaker goal difference and lower xG values (1.69 vs 1.71 for Braga). The class difference between the teams (Braga's 4th place vs Gil Vicente's 5th place) and the visitors' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics point towards their victory. However, considering the hosts' decent performance at their own stadium, a draw cannot be ruled out, hence the relatively high probability of points being shared.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gil Vicente | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Gil Vicente · 2.6 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Gil Vicente · 2.1 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Gil Vicente is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Gil Vicente · 0.86 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Gil Vicente scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gil Vicente
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gil Vicente
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Gil Vicente | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 30% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Gil VicenteSubstitutionOn: Agustín Nahuel Moreira MoralesOff: Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes
- Gil VicenteSubstitutionOn: Hevertton Ciriaco SantosOff: José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gil Vicente 1 - 0 - 0 Sporting Braga. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished Gil Vicente 2:1 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga?
Gil Vicente score 1.48 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 2.10. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Gil Vicente's matches and 43% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Gil Vicente and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Gil Vicente have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting Braga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.