Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Gillingham holds the home advantage, despite their weaker recent form (1 win in 5 matches). Bristol Rovers displays better recent momentum (3 wins in 5 matches); however, their away record is very poor - just a 21% win rate on the road and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have a better average xG in home matches (1.75 vs. 1.25 for the visitors away), indicating greater offensive potential. Bristol Rovers fails to score in 37% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. The visitors' away form (llwwdllllldwlllldwl) shows significant instability, while Gillingham at home has balanced statistics with a 32% win rate and 37% draws. Considering the hosts' advantage and Bristol Rovers' away frailties, I predict a Gillingham victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' recent form.
Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gillingham played Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Gillingham: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gillingham scores 1.16 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 1.00 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gillingham 54%, Bristol Rovers 42%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 43%, Bristol Rovers 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Gillingham: 13.5 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 11.5.
Match halves
Gillingham: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.78. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Gillingham: 76-90+ (14 goals). Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gillingham holds the home advantage, despite their weaker recent form (1 win in 5 matches). Bristol Rovers displays better recent momentum (3 wins in 5 matches); however, their away record is very poor - just a 21% win rate on the road and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have a better average xG in home matches (1.75 vs. 1.25 for the visitors away), indicating greater offensive potential. Bristol Rovers fails to score in 37% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. The visitors' away form (llwwdllllldwlllldwl) shows significant instability, while Gillingham at home has balanced statistics with a 32% win rate and 37% draws. Considering the hosts' advantage and Bristol Rovers' away frailties, I predict a Gillingham victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to both teams' recent form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol Rovers is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gillingham · 2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gillingham is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Gillingham · 1 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Gillingham is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.55 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Gillingham scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Bristol Rovers scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gillingham
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol Rovers is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Gillingham · 1.16 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.62 | 2.55 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gillingham 1 - 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:2 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
Gillingham score 1.16 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Gillingham's matches and 42% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Gillingham and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.