England - EFL League TwoMEMS Priestfield StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gillingham vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gillingham play Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: MEMS Priestfield Stadium.

Current form

Gillingham: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Grimsby Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gillingham scores 1.42 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gillingham 50%, Grimsby Town 50%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 50%, Grimsby Town 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.10. Gillingham: 9.8 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 15.6.

Match halves

Gillingham: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Gillingham: 46-60 (5 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.11)
(3.35)
(2.18)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GillinghamGrimsby Town
1.42Goals scored / match1.25
GillinghamGrimsby Town
1.17Goals conceded / match1.25
GillinghamGrimsby Town
46%Average possession54%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
3.25Shots on target / match4.58
GillinghamGrimsby Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match15.58
GillinghamGrimsby Town
3.25Shots on target4.58
GillinghamGrimsby Town
14.5%Shot conversion8%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
46%Possession54%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
1.1xG for1.68
GillinghamGrimsby Town
1.57xG against1.25
GillinghamGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Gillingham: Counter-attackingGrimsby Town: Attacking
GillinghamGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)33%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gillingham is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Gillingham · 0.2 pts / match - Grimsby Town

Gillingham
LDWLD
Season result split
33% W42% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-3
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Grimsby Town
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W42% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-4
1.17 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gillingham is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.42 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.25 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Gillingham is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.25 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Gillingham scoring profile: strong

Gillingham scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: strong

Grimsby Town scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

17Goals scored (season)15
GillinghamGrimsby Town
14Goals conceded (season)15
GillinghamGrimsby Town
2.58Average goals in match2.5
GillinghamGrimsby Town
6Goals scored (last 5)4
GillinghamGrimsby Town
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
GillinghamGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal75%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
33%2 goals50%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
25%3 goals0%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
17%4 goals0%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
25%2 goals58%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
25%3 goals0%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0%4 goals0%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time17%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0%BTTS in both halves8%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
17%Scored in both halves8%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
60%BTTS - last 560%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Gillingham · 1.25 pts / match - Grimsby Town

Gillingham - half-time state
17% leading58% draw25% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
33% leading25% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.25
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.67
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.33
GillinghamGrimsby Town
58%Clean sheet before half-time42%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
58%No goal before half-time58%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.08
GillinghamGrimsby Town
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
GillinghamGrimsby Town
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
GillinghamGrimsby Town
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.17
GillinghamGrimsby Town
58%Clean sheet after half-time50%
GillinghamGrimsby Town
58%No goal after half-time58%
GillinghamGrimsby Town

Gillingham - second-half results

42% W25% D33% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

17% W58% D25% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gillingham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grimsby Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.00
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gillingham
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
5
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gillingham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

GillinghamLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals in match• 2.582.54• 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%44%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 58%69%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%78%▼ 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Gillingham 0 - 0 - 2 Grimsby Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Gillingham FC
1 : 4
Grimsby Town FC
Grimsby Town FC
1 : 0
Gillingham FC

FAQ

When do Gillingham and Grimsby Town play?

Gillingham face Grimsby Town on 24 October 2026 in EFL League Two at MEMS Priestfield Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Grimsby Town?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0, Grimsby Town won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Grimsby Town?

Gillingham score 1.42 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.25. The EFL League Two average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gillingham's matches and 50% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Gillingham and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Grimsby Town 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Grimsby Town?

The statistical background for Gillingham vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.