Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons present significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 18 victories. The visitors have secured 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches, winning 3 games and remaining undefeated, which contrasts with Gillingham's disastrous run (0.8 PPG, only 1 win). MK Dons show high efficiency away from home with a 47% win rate and an average of 1.94 goals scored against just 1.12 conceded, while the hosts have a neutral goal difference in home matches (0 goal difference). Gillingham have recorded only draws and defeats in their last 5 home games, confirming their struggles to win in front of their home crowd. The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who are much more clinical in their finishing.
Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gillingham played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Gillingham: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gillingham scores 1.24 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.91 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gillingham 56%, Milton Keynes Dons 60%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 41%, Milton Keynes Dons 54%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.40. Gillingham: 13.6 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.2.
Match halves
Gillingham: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.82. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Gillingham: 76-90+ (13 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons present significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 18 victories. The visitors have secured 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches, winning 3 games and remaining undefeated, which contrasts with Gillingham's disastrous run (0.8 PPG, only 1 win). MK Dons show high efficiency away from home with a 47% win rate and an average of 1.94 goals scored against just 1.12 conceded, while the hosts have a neutral goal difference in home matches (0 goal difference). Gillingham have recorded only draws and defeats in their last 5 home games, confirming their struggles to win in front of their home crowd. The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who are much more clinical in their finishing.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Gillingham · 2.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.91 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Gillingham · 1 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of matches (31 of 35 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gillingham
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Gillingham · 2.03 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 51%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gillingham 0 - 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 1:5 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Gillingham score 1.24 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.91. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Gillingham's matches and 60% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Gillingham and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.