Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers: match statistics
Gillingham displays solid home form with a record of 36% wins and only 21% losses at home, which gives them a psychological advantage in front of their own crowd. The hosts stand out with higher offensive efficiency in home matches (xG 1.85 vs 1.29 for the visitors away) and better defense (on average 1.29 goals conceded vs 1.71 for the opponents). Tranmere Rovers is experiencing a dramatic form crisis with a series of five consecutive defeats and zero points earned in recent matches, which significantly weakens their chances of a favorable outcome. Additionally, the visitors have a weaker away record (36% wins, but as much as 43% losses) and poorer xG statistics on the road. The advantage in possession (49% vs 47%) and a higher average of shots on target (5.86 vs 3.93) further speak in favor of the hosts, although their recent overall form (1.2 PTS/match) suggests that victory will not come easy.
Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gillingham played Tranmere Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gillingham: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tranmere Rovers: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gillingham scores 1.36 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Tranmere Rovers scores 1.45 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gillingham 61%, Tranmere Rovers 66%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 43%, Tranmere Rovers 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.41. Gillingham: 13.6 shots per match, Tranmere Rovers: 12.8.
Match halves
Gillingham: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.89. Tranmere Rovers: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Gillingham: 76-90+ (12 goals). Tranmere Rovers: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gillingham displays solid home form with a record of 36% wins and only 21% losses at home, which gives them a psychological advantage in front of their own crowd. The hosts stand out with higher offensive efficiency in home matches (xG 1.85 vs 1.29 for the visitors away) and better defense (on average 1.29 goals conceded vs 1.71 for the opponents). Tranmere Rovers is experiencing a dramatic form crisis with a series of five consecutive defeats and zero points earned in recent matches, which significantly weakens their chances of a favorable outcome. Additionally, the visitors have a weaker away record (36% wins, but as much as 43% losses) and poorer xG statistics on the road. The advantage in possession (49% vs 47%) and a higher average of shots on target (5.86 vs 3.93) further speak in favor of the hosts, although their recent overall form (1.2 PTS/match) suggests that victory will not come easy.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gillingham | Tranmere Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tranmere Rovers is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.45 goals / match - Tranmere Rovers
Gillingham is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.69 goals / match - Tranmere Rovers
Gillingham scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Tranmere Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Tranmere Rovers scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gillingham
Over / Under - Tranmere Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tranmere Rovers is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Gillingham · 1.38 pts / match - Tranmere Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tranmere Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gillingham
Tranmere Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Gillingham | Liga | Tranmere Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gillingham 0 - 1 - 0 Tranmere Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Gillingham 2:1 Tranmere Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?
Gillingham score 1.36 goals per game on average and Tranmere Rovers 1.45. The EFL League Two average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Gillingham's matches and 66% of Tranmere Rovers's.
What form are Gillingham and Tranmere Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tranmere Rovers 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.