Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park: match statistics
Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gimhae City played Busan I'Park in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Gimhae City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Busan I'Park: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gimhae City scores 0.75 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Busan I'Park scores 2.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gimhae City 75%, Busan I'Park 89%. Over 2.5: Gimhae City 63%, Busan I'Park 78%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Busan I'Park has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.18. Gimhae City: 9.5 shots per match, Busan I'Park: 12.1.
Match halves
Gimhae City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Busan I'Park: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Gimhae City: 76-90+ (3 goals). Busan I'Park: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Busan I'Park are clear favorites: they sit 2nd, have scored 20 goals this season and recorded 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Gimhae City are 17th, have 6 goals and a record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The efficiency gap is significant — Busan average 2.4 goals away with a 18% conversion rate and 4.2 shots on target per match, whereas Gimhae at home manage only 0.67 goals per match, 6% conversion and 2.67 shots on target. xG also favors the visitors: Busan’s away xG is 1.47 versus the hosts’ xG of 1.22, which combined with the higher conversion explains the larger goal output. Defensively the hosts look vulnerable — Gimhae concede on average 3.0 goals per home match and have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 games (2.4 per match), while Busan concede 1.6 goals away. Considering the superiority in goals scored (2.4 vs 0.67), efficiency (18% vs 6%) and Busan’s better form (4 wins in the last 5, 2.4 points per match vs Gimhae’s 0.4), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS is highly likely: Gimhae City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% while Busan I'Park records 100% BTTS. In the last 5 matches both teams have 80% BTTS; during that period Gimhae concedes on average 2.4 goals per game and Busan scores 2.0 on average. Seasonally Gimhae scores 2.0 and concedes 0.75, Busan scores 2.4 and concedes 1.6, combining for 4.4 goals potential and xG 1.21 vs 1.47, which confirms chance creation from both sides. Busan has 0% clean sheets this season, and the league BTTS is 65% with an average of 2.85 goals per match, so the league context also favors Goal/Goal. Based on this I pick BTTS - Yes with a probability of 85% vs 15% for No, because the visitors' 100% seasonal rate and the home signals of 75–80% plus recent goal stats clearly argue for both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Projection based on xG: home attack xG 1.21 and away defense xG 1.69 yield 1.45 expected goals for Gimhae, while away attack xG 1.47 and home defense xG 1.24 yield 1.36 for Busan, totaling 2.81. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (seasonOver15Percentage_home=100% and away=100%), and BTTS is 75% for the home side and 100% for the visitors, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Busan have scored 20 goals this season and have 100% of matches over 2.5; additionally, in the last 5 games the visitors average 2.0 goals while the hosts concede 2.4 on average, boosting the probability of Over 2.5 (estimate ~75%). Although the season Over 3.5 for the visitors is 60%, the expected 2.81 goals is below 3.5, so Over 3.5 is rated as moderate (≈40%), and the strongest, most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Busan I'Park have an 80% win rate this season and 80% in their last five matches, while Gimhae City have failed to win any of their last five (0%), which gives the visitors a clear advantage. The visitors led at the break in 3 of their last 5 fixtures (60%) and the hosts in 0 of 5 (0%), so a Busan lead at half-time is likely. Half-time statistics show an average of 1.0 goals for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors, but in the last 5 matches the hosts have 0.0 first-half goals vs 1.0 for Busan, which reinforces the case for the visitors’ first-half advantage. After the break Busan average 1.6 goals (vs 1.0 for the hosts) and have scored 6 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 2 for the hosts; the visitors’ xG of 1.47 vs the hosts’ 1.21 and 4.2 on-target shots vs 4.0 further confirm that Busan are likely to maintain and extend their lead. Therefore the most secure scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gimhae City | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Busan I'Park is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Gimhae City · 2.4 pts / match - Busan I'Park
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 196% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Gimhae City · 2.22 goals / match - Busan I'Park
Busan I'Park is 105% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Gimhae City · 1.22 goals / match - Busan I'Park
Gimhae City scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Busan I'Park scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Gimhae City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gimhae City
Over / Under - Busan I'Park
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busan I'Park is 278% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Gimhae City · 1.89 pts / match - Busan I'Park
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gimhae City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gimhae City
Busan I'Park
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Gimhae City | Liga | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
The K League 2 match finished Gimhae City 0:1 Busan I'Park. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
Gimhae City score 0.75 goals per game on average and Busan I'Park 2.22. The K League 2 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Gimhae City's matches and 89% of Busan I'Park's.
What form are Gimhae City and Busan I'Park in?
Over the last 5 games Gimhae City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Busan I'Park 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
The statistical background for Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.