Glenavon vs Ballymena United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Glenavon played Ballymena United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Glenavon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Ballymena United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Glenavon scores 0.59 and concedes 2.12 goals per match. Ballymena United scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Glenavon 41%, Ballymena United 44%. Over 2.5: Glenavon 47%, Ballymena United 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Ballymena United has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.06. Glenavon: 8.2 shots per match, Ballymena United: 9.8.

Match halves

Glenavon: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.29. Ballymena United: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Glenavon: 61-75 (4 goals). Ballymena United: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
GlenavonBallymena United
17Shots9
GlenavonBallymena United
6Shots on target3
GlenavonBallymena United
0xG0
GlenavonBallymena United
7Corners2
GlenavonBallymena United
0Dangerous attacks0
GlenavonBallymena United
8Fouls13
GlenavonBallymena United
2Cards3
GlenavonBallymena United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GlenavonBallymena United
0.59Goals scored / match1.31
GlenavonBallymena United
2.12Goals conceded / match1.5
GlenavonBallymena United
44%Average possession44%
GlenavonBallymena United
2.71Shots on target / match3.81
GlenavonBallymena United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.18Shots per match9.81
GlenavonBallymena United
2.71Shots on target3.81
GlenavonBallymena United
7.2%Shot conversion13.4%
GlenavonBallymena United
44%Possession44%
GlenavonBallymena United
1.06xG for1.28
GlenavonBallymena United
1.85xG against1.44
GlenavonBallymena United

Shooting quality

Glenavon: BalancedBallymena United: Counter-attacking
GlenavonBallymena United
Accuracy (shots on target)33%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ballymena United is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Glenavon · 0.8 pts / match - Ballymena United

Glenavon
LLWLL
Season result split
12% W0% R88% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-15
0.35 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Ballymena United
LLLWD
Season result split
38% W13% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-8
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ballymena United is 122% better for: goals scored per match.

0.59 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.31 goals / match - Ballymena United

Ballymena United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.12 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.5 goals / match - Ballymena United

Glenavon scoring profile: mixed

Glenavon scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Ballymena United scoring profile: very strong

Ballymena United scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

10Goals scored (season)21
GlenavonBallymena United
36Goals conceded (season)24
GlenavonBallymena United
2.71Average goals in match2.81
GlenavonBallymena United
6Goals scored (last 5)6
GlenavonBallymena United
13Goals conceded (last 5)10
GlenavonBallymena United

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal69%
GlenavonBallymena United
6%2 goals44%
GlenavonBallymena United
6%3 goals13%
GlenavonBallymena United
0%4 goals6%
GlenavonBallymena United

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal75%
GlenavonBallymena United
71%2 goals63%
GlenavonBallymena United
29%3 goals13%
GlenavonBallymena United
12%4 goals0%
GlenavonBallymena United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
GlenavonBallymena United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GlenavonBallymena United
6%Scored in both halves38%
GlenavonBallymena United

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
GlenavonBallymena United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
GlenavonBallymena United
80%BTTS - last 560%
GlenavonBallymena United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
GlenavonBallymena United
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
GlenavonBallymena United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
GlenavonBallymena United

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
GlenavonBallymena United
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
GlenavonBallymena United
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
GlenavonBallymena United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ballymena United is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Glenavon · 1.13 pts / match - Ballymena United

Glenavon - half-time state
24% leading6% draw71% trailing
Ballymena United - half-time state
31% leading19% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.13
GlenavonBallymena United
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.5
GlenavonBallymena United
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
GlenavonBallymena United
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.38
GlenavonBallymena United
29%Clean sheet before half-time44%
GlenavonBallymena United
76%No goal before half-time56%
GlenavonBallymena United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.35Points per match (2nd half)1.44
GlenavonBallymena United
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
GlenavonBallymena United
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
GlenavonBallymena United
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.44
GlenavonBallymena United
24%Clean sheet after half-time56%
GlenavonBallymena United
71%No goal after half-time38%
GlenavonBallymena United

Glenavon - second-half results

0% W35% R65% P
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ballymena United - second-half results

31% W50% R19% P
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Glenavon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ballymena United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Glenavon
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
9
31-45
0
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
1
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

Ballymena United
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Glenavon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Ballymena United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

GlenavonLigaBallymena United
Average goals in match 2.712.65 2.81
Both teams scored 41%46% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%49% 44%
Clean sheets 6%28% 25%
Goal before half-time 94%76% 88%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ballymena UnitedGoalSuccess Edogun
  2. Ballymena UnitedYellow cardJames Hood
  3. GlenavonGoalJack Malone
  4. Ballymena UnitedYellow cardMatthew Clarke
  5. Ballymena UnitedSubstitutionOn: Joel ThompsonOff: James Hood
  6. Ballymena UnitedSubstitutionOn: Daire O'ConnorOff: Jack O'Reilly
  7. GlenavonGoalDavid McDaid
  8. Ballymena UnitedYellow cardDylan McGeouch
  9. Ballymena UnitedYellow cardSean O'Neill
  10. GlenavonGoalPeter Campbell

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Glenavon 0 - 0 - 1 Ballymena United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Glenavon FC
0 : 2
Ballymena United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Glenavon vs Ballymena United?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Glenavon 3:1 Ballymena United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Glenavon vs Ballymena United?

Glenavon score 0.59 goals per game on average and Ballymena United 1.31. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Glenavon's matches and 44% of Ballymena United's.

What form are Glenavon and Ballymena United in?

Over the last 5 games Glenavon have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ballymena United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glenavon vs Ballymena United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glenavon vs Ballymena United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.