Glenavon vs Portadown: match statistics
Glenavon vs Portadown: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glenavon played Portadown in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Glenavon: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Portadown: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glenavon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Portadown scores 1.09 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glenavon 48%, Portadown 48%. Over 2.5: Glenavon 64%, Portadown 61%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Portadown has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.16. Glenavon: 8.6 shots per match, Portadown: 8.9.
Match halves
Glenavon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.58. Portadown: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Glenavon: 61-75 (10 goals). Portadown: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Glenavon has a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Portadown in their last 5 have 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses and only 2 goals scored. At home Glenavon averages 1.06 goals per game with xG 1.15 and concedes 1.63 goals, whereas Portadown away average 1.19 goals with xG 1.07 but concede 2.00 goals per game — this gives the hosts a defensive edge (1.63 vs 2.00). In terms of chance quality both teams are similar: average shots 9.06 (Glenavon at home) vs 8.69 (Portadown away) and shots on target 3.06 vs 3.19, and xG For 1.15 vs 1.07 indicates balanced chance-creation. The difference is recent finishing and stability — Glenavon have averaged 2.0 points per game in the last 5, Portadown only 0.4 ppg; additionally the visitors have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 vs 6 conceded by the hosts. Based on this I predict a home win, given the superior recent goal differential (11–2), lower average goals conceded at home and significantly better points return.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Portadown is in a clear scoring crisis: only 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 avg), while their season rate is 1.19 goals per match, which reduces the likelihood of BTTS. Glenavon, however, has offensive momentum — 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 avg) and recent xG 1.33, whereas Portadown in the same period has xG 0.83 and conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 avg), so the hosts are likely to score. Full-season BTTS indicators are mixed: Glenavon at home has BTTS in 41% of matches, Portadown away 56%, and the league average is 50%, with the last 5 matches of both teams producing BTTS in only 40% of cases. Considering Portadown's poor finishing (0.4 in the last 5) versus Glenavon's offensive form, I estimate BTTS - Yes at 42% and No Goal at 58%, therefore I pick "No Goal".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects expected goals: Glenavon ~1.43 (xG_for 1.33 and opponent xG_against 1.52) and Portadown ~1.36 (xG_for 1.07 and home xG_against 1.65), total ~2.79 goals. With that sum (λ≈2.79) a Poisson distribution implies probability of Over 1.5 at ~77%, Over 2.5 at ~53% and Over 3.5 at ~31%. Seasonal stats confirm a scoring tendency: Glenavon records Over 1.5 in 71% of matches and Over 2.5 in 41%, while Portadown posts Over 1.5 in 88% and Over 2.5 in 81%; additionally Portadown concedes on average 2.0 goals per game and has only 6% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Glenavon scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) whereas Portadown scored only 2 (0.4 avg), which further supports home-side goal potential. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: back Over at the 1.5 line) with an estimated probability of ~77%, while Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~53%) and Over 3.5 less likely (~31%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a Glenavon win at full-time. In the last five matches the home side averaged 2.2 goals and 2.0 points per game, while Portadown managed only 0.4 goals and 0.4 points, indicating a clear form advantage. At the break Glenavon were level in 60% of their last five matches (3 of 5) and leading in 40% (2 of 5), with half-time goals averaging 0.8 versus 0.2 for the visitors, so an HT draw is common. In the second half Glenavon score an average of 1.4 goals across the last five games, compared to just 0.2 for Portadown, and Portadown concede on average 1.0 goals in second halves, which favors a turnaround after the break. Additionally, xG of 1.33 versus 1.07 and Glenavon winning 60% of their last five matches versus 0% for Portadown corroborate the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glenavon | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glenavon is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Glenavon · 0.4 pts / match - Portadown
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portadown is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.09 goals / match - Portadown
Portadown is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.73 goals / match - Portadown
Glenavon scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Portadown keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Portadown scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glenavon
Over / Under - Portadown
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Portadown is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Glenavon · 1.18 pts / match - Portadown
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portadown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glenavon
Portadown
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glenavon | Liga | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.86 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Glenavon 1 - 0 - 2 Portadown. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glenavon vs Portadown?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glenavon 1:1 Portadown. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glenavon and Portadown?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glenavon won 1, Portadown won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glenavon vs Portadown?
Glenavon score 1.00 goals per game on average and Portadown 1.09. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Glenavon's matches and 48% of Portadown's.
What form are Glenavon and Portadown in?
Over the last 5 games Glenavon have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Portadown 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glenavon vs Portadown?
The statistical background for Glenavon vs Portadown — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.