Glentoran vs Ballymena United: match statistics
Glentoran are in significantly better form, sitting in 3rd place in the table with 15 wins this season, while Ballymena United are in 10th position with just 7 wins. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches (PPG 2.6), whereas the visitors are in crisis with only 1 point from their last 5 games (PPG 0.2). Glentoran dominate at home with a 55% win rate and average 1.45 goals per match, while Ballymena United have only a 29% away win rate and concede an average of 1.64 goals. The difference in possession (58% vs 44%), shots on target (4.09 vs 2.79 per match), and Expected Goals (1.48 vs 1.07 xG) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, especially the current form of both teams and Glentoran's home advantage, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Glentoran vs Ballymena United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glentoran played Ballymena United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Glentoran: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ballymena United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glentoran scores 1.72 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Ballymena United scores 1.16 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glentoran 56%, Ballymena United 48%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 48%, Ballymena United 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Glentoran has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.19. Glentoran: 11.7 shots per match, Ballymena United: 9.2.
Match halves
Glentoran: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.84. Ballymena United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Glentoran: 31-45+ (12 goals). Ballymena United: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Glentoran are in significantly better form, sitting in 3rd place in the table with 15 wins this season, while Ballymena United are in 10th position with just 7 wins. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches (PPG 2.6), whereas the visitors are in crisis with only 1 point from their last 5 games (PPG 0.2). Glentoran dominate at home with a 55% win rate and average 1.45 goals per match, while Ballymena United have only a 29% away win rate and concede an average of 1.64 goals. The difference in possession (58% vs 44%), shots on target (4.09 vs 2.79 per match), and Expected Goals (1.48 vs 1.07 xG) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, especially the current form of both teams and Glentoran's home advantage, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glentoran is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Glentoran · 0.8 pts / match - Ballymena United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Glentoran is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.72 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.16 goals / match - Ballymena United
Glentoran is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.56 goals / match - Ballymena United
Glentoran scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Ballymena United scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Ballymena United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.04 pts / match - Ballymena United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glentoran
Ballymena United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Glentoran 2 - 0 - 0 Ballymena United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 2:1 Ballymena United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glentoran and Ballymena United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 2, Ballymena United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
Glentoran score 1.72 goals per game on average and Ballymena United 1.16. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Glentoran's matches and 48% of Ballymena United's.
What form are Glentoran and Ballymena United in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ballymena United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.