Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glentoran play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 26 September 2026.
Current form
Glentoran: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glentoran scores 1.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.38 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glentoran 75%, Carrick Rangers 50%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 63%, Carrick Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.47. Glentoran: 11.3 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 12.1.
Match halves
Glentoran: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.25. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Glentoran: 76-90+ (6 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Glentoran is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.63 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Glentoran scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.25 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glentoran
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Glentoran 2 - 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Glentoran and Carrick Rangers play?
Glentoran face Carrick Rangers on 26 September 2026 in NIFL Premiership. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glentoran and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 2, Carrick Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?
Glentoran score 1.38 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.38. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Glentoran's matches and 50% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Glentoran and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.