Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glentoran played Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Glentoran: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glentoran scores 1.89 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.20 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glentoran 54%, Dungannon Swifts 43%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 51%, Dungannon Swifts 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Glentoran has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.47. Glentoran: 12.9 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 11.1.
Match halves
Glentoran: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 1.06. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Glentoran: 31-45+ (15 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win: Glentoran at home averages 1.71 goals scored and concedes 0.94, has a home goal difference of +13 and a 59% win rate. In the last 5 matches Glentoran scored 7 and conceded 4 (averaging 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per match, about 1.6 points per match), while Dungannon in their last 5 scored 4 and conceded 9 (0.8 and 1.8 per match, averaging 0.2 points per match), clearly indicating the home side’s superior form. In terms of quality of chances Glentoran at home has an average xG of 1.61 with xG against 0.82, whereas Dungannon on the road posts xG 1.26 with xG against 1.28 — meaning the hosts create better opportunities and are less exposed defensively. Glentoran averages 13.12 shots and 5 on target per match with a 13% conversion, while Dungannon away averages 9.63 shots and 3.56 on target with a 9% conversion and fail to score in 44% of away matches. Considering the home advantage in attack and defense (0.94 conceded), the visitors’ poor run with 63% away losses and a goal difference of -19, I estimate the probabilities as: Glentoran win ~72%, draw 18%, Dungannon win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess a higher probability of BTTS - Yes because Glentoran show strong attacking metrics: 1.47 goals per match, xG 1.65, 5.16 shots on target and a season conversion rate of 12%. Dungannon Swifts have significant defensive issues — 2.06 conceded goals per match this season (63 goals conceded) and 1.8 conceded on average in the last 5 matches — increasing the likelihood the home side will score. Conversely, Dungannon score poorly (0.88 goals per match this season and 0.8 in the last 5), and their season BTTS is only 31%, but the last 5 matches show BTTS 80% (4 scored and 9 conceded in five matches), so in the short term their games have been more open. Additionally the league has a season BTTS rate of 52%, and both sides have low clean sheet percentages (26% for hosts and 25% for guests), which supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Considering Glentoran xG 1.65 versus Dungannon xG against 1.28 and Dungannon’s visible susceptibility to conceding, I rate BTTS - Yes at 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Glentoran averages 1.47 goals per game with an xG of 1.65, 5.16 SOT and a 12% conversion rate, while Dungannon concedes 2.06 goals per game and has an xG against of 1.28 with 3.56 SOT and a 9% conversion. Season-to-date, matches exceeding 1.5 goals occur in 84% of Glentoran’s games and 81% of Dungannon’s, which strongly supports Over 1.5. A simple averaging of xG (1.65 from Glentoran vs Dungannon’s defense xG 1.28 → 1.47; and 1.26 from Dungannon vs Glentoran’s defense xG 1.41 → 1.34) yields expected goals of 1.47 and 1.34, a combined total of 2.81 goals. Season over2.5 rates are 58% (home) and 50% (away), with a league average over2.5 of 54%, so I assess Over 2.5 at about 62%, whereas Over 3.5 is much less likely (seasonally 37%/25%, I assess ~31%). Based on this, the strongest signal is Over on the 1.5 line (I assess probability at 86%), therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Glentoran has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 32% of matches this season (33 first-half goals) while Dungannon did so in only 13% (22 first-half goals); in the last 5 fixtures the home side led at the break in 40% of matches versus 0% for the visitors. The difference is confirmed by xG and shots — Glentoran’s xG is 1.65, Dungannon’s xG-for is 1.26 and xG-against 1.28; comparing 1.65 (home attack) to 1.28 (away defense) gives an advantage of +0.37, and average shots on target are 5.16 vs 3.56. The hosts are also more efficient and consistent: conversion rate 12% versus 9% for the visitors, season points per match 1.58 versus 1.00, and 40% wins in the last 5 matches versus 0% for Dungannon. On this basis the most likely scenario is Glentoran leading at half-time and winning full-time (1/1, 30%), while alternatives of a half-time draw with a later home win (X/1, 26%) or draw/draw (X/X, 14%) are less probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glentoran is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Glentoran · 0.6 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Glentoran is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.2 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Glentoran is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.8 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Glentoran scores in 91% of matches (32 of 35 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.11 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glentoran
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 51% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Glentoran 1 - 0 - 2 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 5:0 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts?
Glentoran score 1.89 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.20. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Glentoran's matches and 43% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.