Glentoran vs Linfield: match statistics
Glentoran displays solid home form with a 63% win rate and an impressive average of 1.75 goals scored per home match, conceding just 0.94 goals. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a significantly better home goal difference (+13) compared to Linfield's away record (+1). Linfield struggles offensively on the road, failing to score in 41% of their away matches, with their away win rate standing at just 29%. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Glentoran 1.6 PPG, Linfield 1.4 PPG), but Glentoran's home advantage and home statistics favor them. The difference in ball possession (60% vs 55%) and shooting efficiency also favors the hosts, making their victory the most likely scenario, although Linfield could put up resistance, hence the non-zero chances of a draw.
Glentoran vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glentoran played Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Glentoran: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Linfield: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glentoran scores 1.91 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Linfield scores 1.70 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glentoran 52%, Linfield 36%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 52%, Linfield 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Glentoran has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.60. Glentoran: 13.0 shots per match, Linfield: 12.6.
Match halves
Glentoran: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.09. Linfield: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Glentoran: 76-90+ (14 goals). Linfield: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Glentoran displays solid home form with a 63% win rate and an impressive average of 1.75 goals scored per home match, conceding just 0.94 goals. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a significantly better home goal difference (+13) compared to Linfield's away record (+1). Linfield struggles offensively on the road, failing to score in 41% of their away matches, with their away win rate standing at just 29%. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Glentoran 1.6 PPG, Linfield 1.4 PPG), but Glentoran's home advantage and home statistics favor them. The difference in ball possession (60% vs 55%) and shooting efficiency also favors the hosts, making their victory the most likely scenario, although Linfield could put up resistance, hence the non-zero chances of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data clearly indicates a significantly lower BTTS rate than the league average (Glentoran 38%, Linfield 35% vs league 50%). Glentoran boasts a very strong home defense: conceding an average of 0.44 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 56% of matches, which lowers Linfield's chances of scoring. Linfield averages only 1.06 goals per away game and fails to score (FTS) in as many as 41% of their matches, further compounded by a low shot conversion rate (9%). The form from the last 5 matches reinforces this picture: Glentoran concedes 0.6 goals/match, and Linfield scores 1.0 goals/match, so the risk of 'both teams to score' remains limited. Simultaneously, Glentoran has high offensive potential (2.38 goals/match, 18% conversion), therefore the most likely scenario is a home win to nil or with at most one goal from the visitors.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile suggests a moderate number of goals: Glentoran has a very solid defense (0.44 goals conceded per match and 56% clean sheets), and Linfield scores relatively few away (1.06 goals per match) with low shot conversion efficiency (9%). Both teams have low BTTS rates (Glentoran 38%, Linfield 35%), which limits the chances of a high-scoring scenario. Seasonal Over 3.5 is rare (31% for the hosts and 18% for the visitors), and the last 5 matches further support the under (Over 2.5: 40% Glentoran and 20% Linfield). The xG values suggest a tight match (xG against: 1.01 Glentoran and 1.16 Linfield), with no clear signal for a goal fest. Therefore, the strongest pick is Under 3.5, with a high probability of the total staying below 4 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The seasonal data clearly favors the hosts: 2.56 PPG and an 81% win rate, with an average of 2.38 goals scored and only 0.44 conceded per match. Linfield performs worse away (1.24 PPG, 29% win rate) and has lower efficiency (9% shot conversion vs. the hosts' 18%). In the first halves, the hosts often take the lead (56% lead at the break) and are defensively very stable (0.13 goals conceded in the first half and 88% clean sheets at HT). The visitors have low scoring potential before the break (0.41 HT goals) and a high rate of failing to score in the first half (71%), which increases the likelihood of the hosts leading by halftime. In the second halves, the hosts continue to generate an advantage (1.56 goals scored vs. 0.31 conceded), making the most consistent scenario maintaining the lead and securing a full-time victory. Alternatively, a draw at halftime followed by a home win after the break (X/1) is possible, as the visitors often draw at HT (53%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glentoran is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.4 pts / match - Linfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Glentoran is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Glentoran · 1.7 goals / match - Linfield
Linfield is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Glentoran · 0.73 goals / match - Linfield
Glentoran scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 48% (16 of 33 matches).
Linfield scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Linfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.64 pts / match - Linfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glentoran
Linfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Glentoran 1 - 1 - 1 Linfield. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glentoran vs Linfield?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 1:1 Linfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glentoran and Linfield?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 1, Linfield won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Linfield?
Glentoran score 1.91 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.70. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Glentoran's matches and 36% of Linfield's.
What form are Glentoran and Linfield in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Linfield 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Linfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glentoran vs Linfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.