Gnistan vs Inter Turku: match statistics
Gnistan vs Inter Turku: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gnistan played Inter Turku in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 5 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Gnistan: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match. Inter Turku: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gnistan scores 0.50 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Inter Turku scores 1.20 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gnistan 50%, Inter Turku 40%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 50%, Inter Turku 20%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Turku has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.02. Gnistan: 9.0 shots per match, Inter Turku: 15.0.
Match halves
Gnistan: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25. Inter Turku: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Gnistan: 0-15 (1 goals). Inter Turku: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Turku is the clear favorite: away they have 100% wins (3W-0D-0L), while Gnistan are still winless at home (0W-1D-3L). The visitors are significantly more effective — Inter averages 2.0 goals away (14 shots and 5 on target on average) with ~14% conversion, whereas the hosts score only 0.5 goals per home match (10 shots, 2.5 on target, 5% conversion). Inter’s defense looks better on paper: 0.0 goals conceded away on average and 100% clean sheets, while Gnistan concede 4.0 goals at home on average and are -7 in goal difference. xG also favors Inter — xG for the visitors is 1.53 vs 1.11 for the hosts, and xG against for the hosts is 1.58 vs 1.38 against the visitors, suggesting Inter creates better chances and limits Gnistan. Considering recent form over the last 5 matches (0.8 points per game for Gnistan vs 2.2 for Inter) and that the hosts failed to score in 50% of home games, I predict an away win for Inter; a draw or Gnistan victory is unlikely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS because Inter's defense is at a high level: in the last 5 matches Inter conceded a total of 2 goals (0.4 per match) and has a season clean sheet rate of 100%, while Gnistan conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per match) and has a season clean sheet rate of 50%. Inter also has the edge in attack and chance finishing — averaging 2.0 goals per match this season (last 5: 1.2) and an away xG of 1.53, whereas Gnistan allows home xG of 0.54, suggesting Inter should score (1.53 > 0.54). At the same time Gnistan are less efficient: season home goals average is 1.0 (last 5: 0.8) and their shot conversion rate is 7% versus Inter's 14%, so their chances of scoring against Inter are limited. Season BTTS rates diverge — Gnistan 50% vs Inter 0% with the league average at 53% — and considering recent form and Inter's defensive advantage, a No BTTS scenario is more likely. I assess BTTS probability at 30% for 'yes' and 70% for 'no', therefore I recommend the 'no' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Gnistan and 1.04 for Inter Turku, totaling 2.69 goals. This stems from: Gnistan averaging xG 1.91 per match while Inter concedes xG 1.38 (their mean ≈1.65 for the home side), and Inter producing xG 1.53 while Gnistan concedes 0.54 xG (hence ≈1.04 for the away side). Inter shows higher finishing efficiency (conversion 14% vs Gnistan 7%) and in the last 5 matches Inter has scored 6 goals (1.2 per match) and conceded 2 (0.4), whereas Gnistan has scored 4 and conceded 10 (0.8 and 2.0 per match), which increases the likelihood of goals in the fixture. Seasonal data supports pressure just above 1.5 goals: Inter away has 100% of matches over 1.5, Gnistan at home 50%, while over 2.5 we see only 25% for the home side and 0% for the away side, and over 3.5 both teams are at 0%. Therefore the strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended), Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~58%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Turku shows a clear advantage both in results and defensively: 100% away wins and 100% clean sheets on the road, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match. Gnistan at home has a 50% win rate and 50% clean sheets, scores on average 1.0 goal and concedes 0.5; they also generate higher xG (1.91 xG vs. Inter’s 1.53 xG) but convert chances less efficiently (7% vs. 14% conversion). At Half-Time draws dominate: Gnistan were level at the break in 75% of matches, Inter in 100% (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 75%, drawingAtHTPercentage_away 100%) and Inter scored no goals by HT (GoalsHT_away 0.0). After the break Inter are significantly more dangerous — averaging 2.0 goals in the second half and scoring in 100% of matches after HT (scored_2hg_avg_away 2.0, over05_2hg_percentage_away 100%), whereas Gnistan average 0.75 second-half goals and score after HT in 50% of matches. Consequently the most justified scenario is a draw at Half-Time and an Inter win at Full-Time (X/2): HT draws occur in 75–100% of cases, and Inter win 100% of their away matches, so X/2 is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | Inter Turku | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Turku is 780% better for: last-5 form.
0.25 pts / match - Gnistan · 2.2 pts / match - Inter Turku
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Turku is 140% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.2 goals / match - Inter Turku
Inter Turku is 525% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.4 goals / match - Inter Turku
Gnistan scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Inter Turku keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Inter Turku scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gnistan
Over / Under - Inter Turku
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Turku is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.8 pts / match - Inter Turku
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Turku - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gnistan
Inter Turku
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | Inter Turku | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.35 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 77% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Gnistan 0 - 1 - 3 Inter Turku. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs Inter Turku?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 2:0 Inter Turku. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and Inter Turku?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, Inter Turku won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs Inter Turku?
Gnistan score 0.50 goals per game on average and Inter Turku 1.20. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gnistan's matches and 40% of Inter Turku's.
What form are Gnistan and Inter Turku in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 0-1-3 record (0.25 points per game) and Inter Turku 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs Inter Turku?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.