Gnistan vs Jaro: match statistics
Gnistan vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gnistan played Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Gnistan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Jaro: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gnistan scores 0.83 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Jaro scores 0.67 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gnistan 50%, Jaro 50%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 33%, Jaro 17%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Jaro has higher xG: 1.44 vs 0.91. Gnistan: 7.7 shots per match, Jaro: 11.5.
Match halves
Gnistan: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Jaro: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Gnistan: 61-75 (3 goals). Jaro: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I expect a draw in this match. Jaro has yet to record an away win (0 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses — 67% draws), while Gnistan have only 1 home victory this season and a 33% home win rate. The visitors create significantly more chances: on average 14 shots and 5.33 shots on target with xG 1.61 per game, versus the hosts’ 7.67 shots, 2.33 on target and xG 0.91. Despite that, Jaro convert very poorly away (2% conversion rate and only 0.33 goals per away match), whereas Gnistan at home have a 13% conversion and an average of 1.00 goal, which reduces the visitors’ qualitative advantage in chances. Additionally, the hosts concede 2.67 goals at home on average, but in the last 5 matches they average 1.6 points per game (goal difference 6–5), while the visitors have 1.0 PPG and a goal difference of 8–10 in their last 5, which increases the likelihood of a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes: Gnistan has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 40% in the last 5 matches, while Jaro has a season BTTS rate of 33% and 60% in their last five, which together provides a strong signal for both teams to score. Jaro creates more chances (xG 1.61, avg. 14.0 shots and 5.33 shots on target) versus Gnistan (xG 1.28, 9.0 shots and 3.67 shots on target), so the visitors have a realistic chance to score. Gnistan average 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches, and Jaro concede an average of 2.0 goals in that period; seasonally Gnistan scored 5 and conceded 11, and Jaro scored 4 and conceded 7, showing both teams regularly concede. Additionally, the home side have 0% clean sheets this season, and the league average BTTS is 47% with 2.18 goals per game, so accounting for xG, shots and recent form I assess BTTS at 65% vs 35% and recommend 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG estimate for this match is 1.31 for Gnistan (calculated from xG 1.28 and opponent-average xG 1.34) and 1.40 for Jaro (xG 1.61 and opponent-average xG 1.19), giving a combined 2.71 expected goals. Both teams have 67% of their season matches over 1.5 goals (Gnistan 67%, Jaro 67%), so historically Over 1.5 occurs frequently and confirms the xG signal. Jaro attempts significantly more shots (14 avg vs 9) and more on target (5.33 vs 3.67) and has the higher xG, but their shot conversion is only 2%, which explains the low goals-per-game of 0.33 and may correct in upcoming matches. Gnistan has not kept a single clean sheet (0% matches without conceding) and concedes 1.33 goals on average, so both sides are susceptible to conceding; for this reason I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while Over 2.5 is moderately likely (Gnistan 33% Over 2.5, Jaro 0%, league 32%), and Over 3.5 looks unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a Half-Time draw and a Gnistan turnaround to win (X/1). The hosts average 0.67 goals by half-time versus 0.33 for the visitors, and the hosts have scored at least one goal by the break in 100% of matches this season compared to 67% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of first-half goals but not a clear lead. Jaro generates higher xG (1.61 vs 1.28) and more shots (14 vs 9) and shots on target (5.33 vs 3.67); however, their conversion rate is only 2% versus 11% for the hosts, so many chances have not translated into an early lead. After the break the numbers favour Gnistan: average second-half goals 1.0 versus 0.33 for the visitors, and the hosts won the second half in 60% of their last five matches (vs 20% for Jaro), supporting a Gnistan turnaround in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gnistan is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.8 pts / match - Jaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.67 goals / match - Jaro
Jaro is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.17 goals / match - Jaro
Gnistan scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Jaro scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gnistan
Over / Under - Jaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaro is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.33 pts / match - Jaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gnistan
Jaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 34% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Gnistan 0 - 1 - 1 Jaro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs Jaro?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 5:0 Jaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and Jaro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, Jaro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs Jaro?
Gnistan score 0.83 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.67. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gnistan's matches and 50% of Jaro's.
What form are Gnistan and Jaro in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Jaro 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs Jaro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gnistan vs Jaro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.