Finland - VeikkausliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 26 October 2026

Gnistan vs KuPS: match statistics

Gnistan crest
Gnistan
1 : 1half-time 0:1
KuPS crest
KuPS

Gnistan vs KuPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gnistan played KuPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 8 September 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Gnistan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KuPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gnistan scores 1.64 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. KuPS scores 1.73 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gnistan 55%, KuPS 64%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 45%, KuPS 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

KuPS has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.51. Gnistan: 13.4 shots per match, KuPS: 15.4.

Match halves

Gnistan: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91. KuPS: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). KuPS: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-5. Average goals 3.17, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

KuPS lead the table and have suffered only 3 defeats all season, while Gnistan have lost 6 matches. Away from home, the visitors concede just 0.82 goals per game on average, clearly fewer than Gnistan’s 1.55 goals conceded at home, while their away goal difference stands at +8 compared with the hosts’ +4. KuPS control the game more effectively, recording 57% average possession compared with Gnistan’s 45%, and also register slightly more shots on target away from home: 5.82 versus 5.64. However, the hosts are dangerous offensively at home, scoring an average of 1.91 goals and generating an xG of 1.80, so their chances of earning a point remain significant. The last five matches marginally favour Gnistan (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat), but KuPS’s greater defensive stability and league-leading position point towards an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Gnistan has recorded BTTS in 73% of its league matches, with the figure rising to 80% over the last five games, strongly supporting a Goal/Goal scenario. KuPS has a lower seasonal BTTS rate of 55%, but both teams scored in 60% of their last five matches, while the team averaged 1.2 goals per game. The hosts score an average of 1.91 goals per match and generate 1.81 xG, while KuPS produces as much as 1.79 xG and averages 5.82 shots on target per game. The defenses are not solid enough to significantly obstruct this scenario: Gnistan conceded 1.6 goals per game across its last five matches, and KuPS conceded 1.4, with only 27% of matches ending with a clean sheet for either side. Although KuPS has a strong seasonal average of just 0.82 goals conceded, the hosts' attacking form and high offensive potential support BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have surpassed this line in 82% of their league matches. Gnistan averages 1.81 xG and scores 1.91 goals per match, while KuPS generates a very solid 1.79 xG and scores 1.55 goals. Recent form also points towards goals: across their last five matches, Gnistan scored 1.8 and conceded 1.6 goals, while KuPS scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4. KuPS has defended effectively over the course of the season, conceding just 0.82 goals per match, which reduces confidence in Over 2.5 despite a projected total of 2.70 goals. The 1.5 line has a clear advantage over the riskier Over 2.5, as even with moderate finishing efficiency from both attacks, two goals remain the most likely scenario.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Gnistan has a clear first-half advantage: they led at the break in 55% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.27 goals and conceding just 0.55, while KuPS scored 0.91 goals before half-time. The hosts have also been more effective over the season as a whole, averaging 1.91 goals scored compared with KuPS’s 1.55, while their xG stands at 1.81 versus 1.79 for their opponents. Gnistan’s overall advantage is not substantial, however, as KuPS concede only 0.82 goals per match on average and have the same 55% win rate. In their last five matches, KuPS lost 40% of the time, whereas Gnistan lost only 20%, further supporting the scenario in which the hosts maintain a favourable result. The most likely outcome therefore remains an HT/FT 1/1, with Gnistan taking the lead before half-time and seeing out the win.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
GnistanKuPS
13Shots17
GnistanKuPS
5Shots on target2
GnistanKuPS
1.52xG1.77
GnistanKuPS
6Corners5
GnistanKuPS
49Dangerous attacks77
GnistanKuPS
9Fouls12
GnistanKuPS
2Cards2
GnistanKuPS

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.64Goals scored / match1.73
GnistanKuPS
1.32Goals conceded / match1.05
GnistanKuPS
43%Average possession57%
GnistanKuPS
4.59Shots on target / match5.68
GnistanKuPS

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.41Shots per match15.45
GnistanKuPS
4.59Shots on target5.68
GnistanKuPS
12.2%Shot conversion11.2%
GnistanKuPS
43%Possession57%
GnistanKuPS
1.51xG for1.8
GnistanKuPS
1.54xG against1.24
GnistanKuPS

Shooting quality

Gnistan: Counter-attackingKuPS: Dominant
GnistanKuPS
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gnistan is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.4 pts / match - KuPS

Gnistan
LDWWD
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-6
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
KuPS
WDWLL
Season result split
55% W32% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-3
1.95 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KuPS is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.73 goals / match - KuPS

KuPS is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.05 goals / match - KuPS

Gnistan scoring profile: very strong

Gnistan scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

KuPS scoring profile: very strong

KuPS scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

36Goals scored (season)38
GnistanKuPS
29Goals conceded (season)23
GnistanKuPS
2.95Average goals in match2.77
GnistanKuPS
9Goals scored (last 5)6
GnistanKuPS
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
GnistanKuPS

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal86%
GnistanKuPS
45%2 goals50%
GnistanKuPS
27%3 goals27%
GnistanKuPS
9%4 goals9%
GnistanKuPS

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal73%
GnistanKuPS
36%2 goals18%
GnistanKuPS
9%3 goals9%
GnistanKuPS
5%4 goals5%
GnistanKuPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time27%
GnistanKuPS
5%BTTS in both halves9%
GnistanKuPS
32%Scored in both halves27%
GnistanKuPS

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
GnistanKuPS
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
GnistanKuPS
80%BTTS - last 560%
GnistanKuPS

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
GnistanKuPS
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
GnistanKuPS
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
GnistanKuPS

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
GnistanKuPS
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
GnistanKuPS
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
GnistanKuPS

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KuPS is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.91 pts / match - KuPS

Gnistan - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing
KuPS - half-time state
55% leading27% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.91
GnistanKuPS
0.73Goals scored (1st half)1.09
GnistanKuPS
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
GnistanKuPS
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.59
GnistanKuPS
55%Clean sheet before half-time59%
GnistanKuPS
45%No goal before half-time32%
GnistanKuPS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.27
GnistanKuPS
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
GnistanKuPS
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
GnistanKuPS
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.18
GnistanKuPS
45%Clean sheet after half-time50%
GnistanKuPS
45%No goal after half-time55%
GnistanKuPS

Gnistan - second-half results

45% W18% D36% L
32
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KuPS - second-half results

27% W45% D27% L
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
KuPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
7
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

KuPS
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
6
1
16-30
10
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

KuPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

GnistanLigaKuPS
Average goals in match▲ 2.952.55▲ 2.77
Both teams scored▲ 55%49%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 45%46%• 45%
Clean sheets▼ 23%29%▼ 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%73%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%74%• 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KuPSYellow cardPetteri Pennanen
  2. KuPSYellow cardPiotr Parzyszek
  3. GnistanYellow cardDanny Marcos Pérez Valdez
  4. KuPSSubstitutionOn: Samuel PasanenOff: Valentín Román Gasc
  5. GnistanYellow cardEdmund Arko-Mensah
  6. GnistanSubstitutionOn: Otto HannulaOff: Joakim Latonen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Gnistan 0 - 1 - 5 KuPS. Average goals 3.17, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
KuPS
1 : 0
Gnistan
Kuopion Palloseura
1 : 1
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
0 : 4
Kuopion Palloseura
Kuopion Palloseura
6 : 2
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
1 : 2
Kuopion Palloseura

FAQ

What was the result of Gnistan vs KuPS?

The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 1:1 KuPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and KuPS?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, KuPS won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs KuPS?

Gnistan score 1.64 goals per game on average and KuPS 1.73. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Gnistan's matches and 64% of KuPS's.

What form are Gnistan and KuPS in?

Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KuPS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs KuPS?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gnistan vs KuPS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.