Finland - VeikkausliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 23 July 2026

Gnistan vs Lahti: match statistics

Gnistan crest
Gnistan
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Lahti crest
Lahti

Gnistan vs Lahti: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gnistan play Lahti in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 17 June 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Gnistan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lahti: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gnistan scores 1.56 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Lahti scores 1.25 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gnistan 44%, Lahti 44%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 38%, Lahti 31%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Lahti has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.42. Gnistan: 12.4 shots per match, Lahti: 12.5.

Match halves

Gnistan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94. Lahti: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Gnistan: 61-75 (7 goals). Lahti: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I back a home victory for Gnistan. Gnistan scores an average of 2.2 goals per home match versus just 0.75 goals that Lahti produces away, and in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 12 goals and won 3 of 5, registering 2.0 points per game compared to Lahti’s 1.2 PPG. Gnistan registers 4.6 shots on target and 10.6 attempts per home game with a 21% conversion rate, while Lahti averages 3.75 shots on target and just 7% efficiency, so the hosts are more clinical despite a very similar xG (1.25 vs 1.24). Defensively Gnistan concedes 2.0 goals per home game with an xG against of 1.46, and Lahti concedes 1.25 goals away with xG against 1.44, which indicates some vulnerability on the hosts’ side, but the superiority in finishing should decide the outcome. Additionally, Gnistan has a 60% home win rate whereas Lahti wins only 25% of away matches and records 75% losses on the road, therefore I favor the hosts.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
GnistanLahti
17Shots15
GnistanLahti
4Shots on target5
GnistanLahti
1.69xG1.69
GnistanLahti
2Corners6
GnistanLahti
46Dangerous attacks54
GnistanLahti
17Fouls10
GnistanLahti
3Cards3
GnistanLahti

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.56Goals scored / match1.25
GnistanLahti
1.25Goals conceded / match0.94
GnistanLahti
44%Average possession55%
GnistanLahti
4.31Shots on target / match4.31
GnistanLahti

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.38Shots per match12.5
GnistanLahti
4.31Shots on target4.31
GnistanLahti
12.6%Shot conversion10%
GnistanLahti
44%Possession55%
GnistanLahti
1.42xG for1.43
GnistanLahti
1.45xG against1.21
GnistanLahti

Shooting quality

Gnistan: Counter-attackingLahti: Balanced
GnistanLahti
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lahti is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Gnistan · 2.2 pts / match - Lahti

Gnistan
DDLWW
Season result split
44% W25% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Lahti
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gnistan is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.25 goals / match - Lahti

Lahti is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.94 goals / match - Lahti

Gnistan scoring profile: strong

Gnistan scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Lahti scoring profile: strong

Lahti scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)20
GnistanLahti
20Goals conceded (season)15
GnistanLahti
2.81Average goals in match2.19
GnistanLahti
8Goals scored (last 5)6
GnistanLahti
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
GnistanLahti

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
GnistanLahti
38%2 goals31%
GnistanLahti
25%3 goals6%
GnistanLahti
13%4 goals6%
GnistanLahti

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal63%
GnistanLahti
31%2 goals25%
GnistanLahti
13%3 goals6%
GnistanLahti
6%4 goals0%
GnistanLahti

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time19%
GnistanLahti
6%BTTS in both halves6%
GnistanLahti
38%Scored in both halves25%
GnistanLahti

BTTS and goal count

19%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
GnistanLahti
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
GnistanLahti
60%BTTS - last 520%
GnistanLahti

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
GnistanLahti
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
GnistanLahti
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
GnistanLahti

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
GnistanLahti
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
GnistanLahti
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
GnistanLahti

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gnistan - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Lahti - half-time state
38% leading44% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.56
GnistanLahti
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.75
GnistanLahti
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
GnistanLahti
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.13
GnistanLahti
63%Clean sheet before half-time69%
GnistanLahti
44%No goal before half-time44%
GnistanLahti

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)1.19
GnistanLahti
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
GnistanLahti
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
GnistanLahti
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.06
GnistanLahti
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
GnistanLahti
44%No goal after half-time56%
GnistanLahti

Gnistan - second-half results

50% W13% R38% P
24
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lahti - second-half results

25% W44% R31% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Lahti - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
5
46-60
7
2
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Lahti
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Lahti

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

GnistanLigaLahti
Average goals in match 2.812.67 2.19
Both teams scored 44%51% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%47% 31%
Clean sheets 31%28% 38%
Goal before half-time 75%75% 69%
Goal after half-time 94%78% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gnistan 0 - 0 - 1 Lahti. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Gnistan vs Lahti?

The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 1:0 Lahti. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs Lahti?

Gnistan score 1.56 goals per game on average and Lahti 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Gnistan's matches and 44% of Lahti's.

What form are Gnistan and Lahti in?

Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lahti 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs Lahti?

The statistical background for Gnistan vs Lahti — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.